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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 18% | +1 pts | −8 pts | 17¢ · 18¢ (1¢) | $1.1K | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | reydelas | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SellNo89¢ → 83¢ | $2,010 | +$147 +7.3% | — |
| 3d | valetecaolho | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SellYes16¢ → 18¢ | $1,177 | −$83 −7.1% | — |
| 9d |  paddaa | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo77¢ → 83¢ | $2,200 | +$145 +6.6% | 35 |
| 9d |  willsom | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo76¢ → 83¢ | $1,466 | +$125 +8.6% | 36 |
| 10d | only-no2 fills | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo74¢ → 83¢ | $6,660 | +$765 +11% | 37 |
| 13d | Leclerc042 fills | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo76¢ → 83¢ | $3,140 | +$266 +8.5% | 36 |
| 14d | -wraith-2 fills | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo79¢ → 83¢ | $5,353 | +$251 +4.7% | 34 |
| 51d | KiernanMeister | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BuyNo73¢ → 83¢ | $2,527 | +$331 +13% | 38 |
AlbertoFGomez2,417 shareswillsom2,768 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 18¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 18%.