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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449d | QMG-CORE3 fills | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,800 | +$169 +2.2% | 4 |
| 472d | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$15 −1.2% | — | |
| 474d | itsjustcheddar2 fills | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | −$31 −1.4% | — |
| 488d | lowrisk242 fills | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,564 | −$136 −3.0% | — |
| 500d | spark1 | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$16 +1.3% | 4 |
| 505d | sc1985 | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$55 +2.3% | 4 |
| 512d | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,903 | +$343 +2.9% | 4 | |
| 548d | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | −$35 −3.3% | — | |
| 552d | QMG-CORE | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,180 | −$105 −3.3% | — |
| 571d | lowrisk242 fills | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,761 | +$304 +6.4% | 4 |
| 583d | commeowder3 fills | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $15,198 | +$1,450 +9.5% | 4 |
| 607d | itsjustcheddar | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,601 | +$229 +8.8% | 4 |
| 622d | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $18,835 | +$2,711 +14% | 4 | |
| 622d | dogtheorist2 | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 4 |
| 628d | goldingboy | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $7,095 | +$877 +12% | 4 |
| 664d | Needy-Constellation | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,187 | +$526 +16% | 4 |
| 669d | CompulsiveGambler | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$255 −20% | — |
| 671d | CompulsiveGambler | Bird flu pandemic before August 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$225 +18% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares H5N1 (bird flu) a pandemic by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information form the WHO, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.