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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | money-printin | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $10,885 | −$11 −0.1% | — | |
| 16d | pelik2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $30,100 | +$30 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $89,130 | +$10,113 +11% | 2 | |
| 16d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $71,928 | +$72 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 16d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $16,642 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 16d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,030 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 16d | 37ordinary | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $14,082 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | texture | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $14,287 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Stonktrader3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $37,252 | +$26,126 +70% | 2 |
| 16d | hedkor | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,311 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,549 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $6,898 | −$14 −0.2% | — | |
| 17d | honk75 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,025 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,762 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,604 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 17d | Swift-Nothing | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,487 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | 8014a3d96c2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $11,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $10,377 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 17d | money-printin2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 17d | Novatan | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,555 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | pieped | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,929 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 17d | C03B4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $102,154 | +$1,813 +1.8% | 2 |
| 17d | thanksmom2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $42,138 | +$42 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | hseinvest | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,898 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,986 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $7,588 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 17d | Lcz | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,423 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $38,334 | +$1,186 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$75 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 17d | HellsAngelx | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | −$40 −2.8% | — |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp32¢ → 100¢ | $3,406 | +$7,194 +211% | 6 | |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$233 +21% | 2 | |
| 17d | whig | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp79¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | −$355 −27% | — |
| 17d | Helpful-Sole | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$475 +39% | 2 |
| 18d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $2,810 | +$1,295 +46% | 2 | |
| 18d | Ideal-Friction | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellUp65¢ → 100¢ | $6,708 | −$3,540 −53% | — |
| 18d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 2 | |
| 18d | Zlatan12332 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown62¢ → 0¢ | $6,046 | −$6,046 −100% | 2 |
| 18d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp43¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$1,524 +130% | 2 | |
| 18d | 8014a3d96c | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown68¢ → 0¢ | $6,850 | −$6,850 −100% | 2 |
| 18d | Mustafalafel | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp33¢ → 100¢ | $1,749 | +$3,519 +201% | 4 |
| 18d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellDown74¢ → 0¢ | $4,989 | +$4,989 +100% | — | |
| 18d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown84¢ → 0¢ | $4,708 | −$4,708 −100% | 2 | |
| 18d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown78¢ → 0¢ | $1,191 | −$1,191 −100% | 2 | |
| 18d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown>99¢ → 0¢ | $4,899 | −$4,899 −100% | 2 | |
| 18d | HellsAngelx | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellDown>99¢ → 0¢ | $1,793 | +$1,793 +100% | — |
| 18d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | SellDown>99¢ → 0¢ | $14,650 | +$14,650 +100% | — | |
| 18d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown>99¢ → 0¢ | $30,976 | −$30,976 −100% | 2 | |
| 18d | laolumanjuuma | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown>99¢ → 0¢ | $4,995 | −$4,995 −100% | 2 |
| 18d | mianbaoxiaoziuma | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown>99¢ → 0¢ | $4,995 | −$4,995 −100% | 2 |
| 18d | Sharky69992 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 0¢ | $39,016 | −$39,016 −100% | 2 |
| 18d | Smooth-Double | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown>99¢ → 0¢ | $6,984 | −$6,984 −100% | 2 |
| 18d | Chepell-plus | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $2,371 | +$129 +5.5% | 2 |
| 18d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$232 +12% | 3 |
| 19d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $2,885 | +$2,685 +93% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 '26 is lower than the final "Close" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 '26. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 '26 is higher than the final "Close" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 '26. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.