| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10,882 | 57¢ → 70¢ | $7,563 | +$1,357 +22% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 17,535 | 15¢ → 43¢ | $7,540 | +$4,940 +190% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 9,041 | 55¢ → 70¢ | $6,284 | +$1,299 +26% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 5,212 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $3,779 | −$166 −4.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 3,549 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $3,496 | +$279 +8.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3,555 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $2,826 | +$227 +8.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,456 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $2,479 | +$88 +3.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 10,266 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $2,207 | +$51 +2.4% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 2,180 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $2,098 | +$93 +4.6% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 2,282 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $2,077 | +$117 +6.0% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,785 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $2,075 | +$70 +3.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,468 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $2,036 | +$37 +1.9% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | Yes | 3,000 | 62¢ → 68¢ | $2,025 | +$165 +8.9% |
| Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | No | 1,963 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $1,921 | +$174 +9.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,000 | 44¢ → 43¢ | $1,700 | −$60 −3.4% |
| Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | No | 1,689 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $1,598 | +$51 +3.3% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 10,000 | 14¢ → 15¢ | $1,545 | +$175 +13% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,079 | 30¢ → 49¢ | $1,509 | +$571 +61% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 68d | No | 2,000 | 78¢ → 66¢ | $1,320 | −$240 −15% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,414 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $1,236 | −$44 −3.4% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,656 | 25¢ → 32¢ | $1,170 | +$266 +29% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,117 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $1,022 | +$28 +2.8% |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | No | 1,048 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,017 | +$31 +3.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,565 | 17¢ → 28¢ | $1,016 | +$394 +63% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,030 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $994 | +$68 +7.4% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Ends ended | No | 1,000 | 56¢ → 99¢ | $992 | +$427 +76% |
| Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 10d | Brown | 1,018 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $986 | +$84 +9.3% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,210 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $980 | +$73 +8.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,419 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $980 | +$27 +2.8% |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 2,342 | 65¢ → 41¢ | $967 | −$545 −36% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,000 | 68¢ → 94¢ | $944 | +$264 +39% |
| Texas Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 10d | Talarico | 973 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $940 | +$60 +6.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,097 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $799 | +$20 +2.6% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 12,247 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $723 | −$37 −4.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 59¢ → 68¢ | $675 | +$85 +14% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 1,000 | 43¢ → 68¢ | $675 | +$245 +57% |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 706 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $624 | +$45 +7.7% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | Yes | 3,025 | 13¢ → 21¢ | $620 | +$214 +53% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 611 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $565 | +$70 +14% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,264 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $509 | −$79 −13% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 500 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $491 | +$39 +8.7% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 19,765 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $484 | +$30 +6.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,966 | 20¢ → 25¢ | $482 | +$85 +22% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | No | 1,361 | 29¢ → 35¢ | $476 | +$82 +21% |
| Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 480 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $466 | +$57 +14% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 13,432 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $369 | −$248 −40% |
| Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 327 | 19¢ → >99¢ | $327 | +$265 +431% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,257 | 21¢ → 25¢ | $308 | +$46 +17% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | Yes | 3,089 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $263 | −$188 −42% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 381 | 25¢ → 69¢ | $261 | +$167 +179% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 490 | 50¢ → 53¢ | $260 | +$15 +6.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,367 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $253 | −$17 −6.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 905 | 15¢ → 27¢ | $248 | +$111 +82% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $195 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,097 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $186 | −$88 −32% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 602 | 21¢ → 29¢ | $176 | +$50 +40% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10,000 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $175 | −$65 −27% |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,248 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $144 | −$6 −4.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 600 | 44¢ → 24¢ | $141 | −$123 −47% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 259 | 66¢ → 48¢ | $124 | −$48 −28% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 1,778 | 20¢ → 7¢ | $116 | −$248 −68% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 604 | 48¢ → 18¢ | $106 | −$184 −64% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 145 | 68¢ → 64¢ | $92 | −$7 −6.6% |
| Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 193 | 42¢ → 48¢ | $92 | +$11 +14% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4,000 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $90 | −$270 −75% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 443 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $71 | −$17 −20% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,850 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $55 | +$3 +6.3% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Ends in 8d | Yes | 236 | 32¢ → 20¢ | $47 | −$28 −38% |
| Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?Ends ended | No | 40 | 56¢ → >99¢ | $40 | +$18 +78% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 94 | 13¢ → 23¢ | $22 | +$9 +77% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,518 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $12 | −$164 −93% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | No | 51 | 22¢ → 23¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ID-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 441 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $8 | −$11 −57% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 254 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $7 | +$6 +480% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 23 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $3 | +$0 +12% |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 300 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$12 −84% |
| Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 706 | 26¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$185 −99% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 12 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +162% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 146 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 367 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$165 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,422 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$476 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 578 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$159 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 220 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 479 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,226 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 474 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,941 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,424 −100% |
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,226 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$451 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 864 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,076 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$428 −100% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$583 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 224 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,994 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,134 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$242 −100% |
