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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Maria Neves | 83% | +1 pts | −2 pts | 81¢ · 84¢ (3¢) | — | in 23d |
| Joana Rosa | 4% | 0 pts | −6 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 23d |
| Janine Lélis | 2% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 23d |
| Casimiro de Pina | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 23d |
| Péricles Tavares | <1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 23d |
| Milton Paiva | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 23d |
| Fernando Delgado | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 23d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Quarrelsome-Sycamore | José Maria Neves | BuyYes85¢ → 83¢ | $1,684 | −$54 −3.2% | 10 |
| 27d | KiernanMeister | José Maria Neves | SellYes80¢ → 83¢ | $1,464 | −$41 −2.8% | — |
| 63d | KiernanMeister | José Maria Neves | BuyYes70¢ → 83¢ | $1,855 | +$322 +17% | 10 |
| 69d |  archaic | Janine Lélis | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,014 | +$37 +3.6% | 10 |
alpha.chen829 shares
Rr55230 sharesarchaic146 shares
FrozenParasite939 sharesPresidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 83¢ for José Maria Neves means the market gives it about 83%.