| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 12d | Yes | 4,987 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $4,820 | +$228 +5.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 12d | No | 800 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $740 | +$12 +1.6% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,861 | 76¢ → 34¢ | $633 | −$773 −55% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,064 | 35¢ → 48¢ | $506 | +$135 +37% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 600 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $501 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 450 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $414 | +$11 +2.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 250 | 13¢ → 89¢ | $221 | +$189 +581% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 619 | 26¢ → 33¢ | $204 | +$41 +25% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Ends ended | Yes | 162 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $161 | +$2 +1.5% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 210 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $156 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 12d | No | 184 | 70¢ → 75¢ | $137 | +$8 +6.4% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 128 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $121 | +$11 +10% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 114 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $109 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 111 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $106 | +$5 +4.5% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 100 | 71¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$23 +32% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$8 +8.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $73 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 3d | Yes | 558 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $64 | −$21 −25% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 9%-12%?Ends in 12d | No | 58 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $56 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$3 +6.7% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?Ends in 227d | Yes | 200 | 19¢ → 25¢ | $49 | +$11 +29% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 12d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $43 | +$3 +8.5% |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 3d | Yes | 110 | 28¢ → 37¢ | $40 | +$10 +31% |
| Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 150 | 48¢ → 23¢ | $35 | −$38 −52% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 68¢ | $34 | +$3 +11% |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?Ends in 227d | Yes | 100 | 34¢ → 25¢ | $25 | −$9 −26% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 100 | 41¢ → 23¢ | $23 | −$18 −43% |
| Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 156d | Yes | 100 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $20 | +$2 +8.1% |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Ends in 24d | No | 200 | 19¢ → 10¢ | $20 | −$19 −48% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 100 | 40¢ → 20¢ | $20 | −$21 −51% |
| Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 38 | 62¢ → 51¢ | $19 | −$4 −19% |
| Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 24d | Yes | 65 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 902 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $12 | −$27 −70% |
| Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?Ends in 99d | Yes | 18 | 55¢ → 62¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 250 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $9 | −$14 −60% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 250 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $5 | +$2 +82% |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 509 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$26 −93% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?Ends ended | Yes | 180 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$30 −94% |
| Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 26 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −94% |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 185 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will 175 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 429 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 805 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 134 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$122 −100% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 175 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 157 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 293 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 775 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 504 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$227 −100% |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 191 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 368 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 358 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 142 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 735 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 190 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 461 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 106 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 301 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 89 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 145 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 180 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 254 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 660 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 145 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 127 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 215 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
