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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 1% | −3 pts | −10 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $170 | in 8d |
| December 31 | 81% | — | −8 pts | 80¢ · 81¢ (1¢) | $6 | in 69d |
a.weidel783 shares
Dr.PNL407 shares
ImOldBruceWayne400 shares
bubububblebutt40 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 1%.
