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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56d |  paddaa | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | −$34 −2.0% | — |
| 65d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | +$210 +7.5% | 4 |
| 65d | paddaa2 fills | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $7,094 | +$3,522 +50% | 4 |
| 68d |  .ethguy | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | −$126 −9.9% | — |
| 72d | b1rd | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$86 −7.5% | — |
| 73d |  FrozenParasite | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $2,591 | −$2,591 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christopher Luxon and the government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.