| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 933 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $51 | +$6 +14% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 575 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $32 | −$22 −41% |
| FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,211 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $31 | −$37 −54% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 555 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $31 | +$3 +10.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 173 | 34¢ → 18¢ | $30 | −$29 −49% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 279 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $27 | −$3 −9.1% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 372 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $19 | +$11 +153% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 142 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $16 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 277 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $15 | +$4 +31% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 518 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $13 | −$3 −17% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | Yes | 180 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $12 | +$3 +32% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 464 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $11 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 78 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $11 | −$5 −33% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 108 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$1 −7.4% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 96 | 18¢ → 11¢ | $10 | −$7 −42% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 146 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.5% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 56 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $9 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 87 | 14¢ → 10¢ | $9 | −$4 −30% |
| Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 189 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $8 | −$4 −33% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 94 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $8 | −$4 −31% |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 56 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $8 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 151 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $8 | −$1 −14% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 43 | 13¢ → 18¢ | $8 | +$2 +35% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 122 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $7 | −$7 −50% |
| Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 42 | 24¢ → 16¢ | $7 | −$3 −34% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | Yes | 93 | 18¢ → 7¢ | $6 | −$10 −63% |
| Eric Adams charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 38 | 32¢ → 15¢ | $6 | −$6 −53% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 64 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $5 | −$1 −15% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 81 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 304 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $5 | +$2 +42% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 155 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$2 −32% |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 321 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$5 −48% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 82 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 164 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $5 | +$1 +38% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 129 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $4 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 29 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $4 | +$1 +27% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 84 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$0 −10% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 84 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$1 −26% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 48 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$0 −4.8% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 33 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $3 | +$0 +21% |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 270 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$6 −67% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 37 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Ends in 69d | Yes | 91 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$5 −69% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 25 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $2 | +$0 +10.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 37 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$0 −9.3% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 38 | 21¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$6 −73% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 209 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$5 −69% |
| Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 43 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $2 | +$0 +33% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 22¢ → 33¢ | $2 | +$1 +53% |
| Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 38 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$3 −67% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 55 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$0 −17% |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 89 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$3 −66% |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 23 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$1 −32% |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 37 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −29% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 37 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −6.4% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 46 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −29% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 8¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$1 +75% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 22 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $1 | +$0 +42% |
| Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$0 −16% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 8¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$0 +55% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 37 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −56% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $1 | +$0 +37% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 33 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −16% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 65 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$4 −81% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 20¢ | $1 | −$0 −26% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −48% |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$0 +69% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $0 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 9¢ → 12¢ | $0 | +$0 +27% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 18¢ | $0 | −$1 −58% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −29% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 11 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −70% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $0 | +$0 +10.0% |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −68% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$0 −25% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$0 −54% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $0 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −72% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 13¢ → 18¢ | $0 | +$0 +35% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +14% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $0 | +$0 +50% |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 12¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −64% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 24¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$0 −65% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −67% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $0 | +$0 +105% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +113% |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −50% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −12% |
| Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −77% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −49% |
| Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −38% |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 231 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
