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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 8d |
| December 31 | 37% | +3 pts | +1 pts | 18¢ · 55¢ (37¢) | — | in 69d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 2%.