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Polymarket · Politics
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 13¢ · 19¢ (6¢) | $7.24 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83d |  DirkDiggler67 | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | BuyNo62¢ → 84¢ | $1,543 | +$548 +36% | 40 |
Car685 sharesDirkDiggler671,002 shares
Serega-pro705 shares
zxdfbdfgngcxv517 shares
Yackydud3448 shares
Peacemakers421 shares
autisem323 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 16¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 16%.