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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 30 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 354d | October 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $33,971 | −$34 −0.1% | — | |
| 354d | flyeveryday | October 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,106 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 354d | MAGA.ONE3 fills | October 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 354d | asfgh2 fills | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,510 | +$52 +0.2% | 20 |
| 354d | flyeveryday | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 354d | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,900 | +$100 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 354d | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $76,796 | +$268 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 354d | sleepin | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,505 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 355d | LFC8 | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 355d | RobertoRubio | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 355d | MAGA.ONE | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $90,690 | +$182 +0.2% | 20 |
| 355d | yanlaoshi66 | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,031 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 355d | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,673 | +$74 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 355d | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,398 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 355d | October 31 | SellNo100¢ | $1,630 | −$8 −0.5% | — | |
| 355d | WTETH | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,197 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 355d | fanzong1024 | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,386 | +$158 +0.4% | 20 |
| 355d | Yeahssd | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $98,267 | +$533 +0.5% | 20 |
| 355d | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 355d | dreamx9000 | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | −$12 −1.1% | — |
| 355d | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,315 | +$56 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 355d | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,622 | +$11 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 356d | yanlaoshi | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$9 +0.9% | 20 |
| 356d | pikaqiuzwx | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,967 | +$18 +0.9% | 20 |
| 356d | October 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $39,274 | +$754 +1.9% | 20 | |
| 356d | burnhill | October 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,873 | −$177 −1.8% | — |
| 356d | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$12 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 356d | Rundown-Regard | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,378 | +$22 +0.4% | 20 |
| 356d | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,432 | +$18 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 356d | stealer | October 31 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,970 | +$30 +0.5% | 20 |
| 356d | burnhill2 fills | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$45 +0.5% | 20 |
| 356d | lnarix | October 31 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,195 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 356d | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $42,753 | +$257 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 356d | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$12 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 357d | lordedward | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$12 −1.2% | — |
| 357d | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,921 | −$47 −1.2% | — | |
| 357d | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,523 | +$150 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 357d | October 31 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | −$62 −2.9% | — | |
| 357d | aviato | October 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,515 | −$319 −1.9% | — |
| 357d | Back-Restaurant | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$18 +1.0% | 20 |
| 357d | FlyingPlaty4 fills | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $36,905 | +$406 +1.1% | 20 |
| 357d | nonkenny902 fills | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,431 | +$23 +1.0% | 20 |
| 357d | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,914 | +$86 +1.1% | 20 | |
| 357d | Nonstop-Bulk | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,542 | +$56 +1.0% | 20 |
| 358d | MariaLo | October 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$30 +1.7% | 20 |
| 371d | Coordinated-Agreement | October 31 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | −$65 −2.9% | — |
| 380d | Coordinated-Agreement | October 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,222 | +$45 +2.0% | 20 |
| 385d | October 31 | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,764 | −$1,764 −100% | 20 | |
| 387d | October 31 | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$935 +89% | 20 | |
| 387d | ForgetAboutBenjamin | September 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,052 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 387d | Txetg | October 31 | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,733 | −$1,733 −100% | 22 |
| 388d | September 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,040 | −$24 −0.3% | — | |
| 388d | September 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,174 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 388d | Michael5289 | September 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,508 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 388d | aviato4 fills | September 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,385 | +$168 +1.3% | 20 |
| 391d | September 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,777 | +$230 +2.6% | 20 | |
| 392d | Folletin | September 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,139 | +$151 +3.7% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James B. Comey is arrested between September 25 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 0%.