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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 30 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 28, 2026 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291d | pako2 fills | February 28, 2026 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,975 | +$400 +6.7% | 20 |
| 308d | madman666 | December 31 | SellNo100¢ | $1,144 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 323d | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,787 | −$103 −3.7% | — | |
| 326d | December 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$21 −1.9% | — | |
| 334d | Lolololol | December 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,581 | −$56 −2.2% | — |
| 334d | December 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,300 | −$206 −2.5% | — | |
| 337d | QMG-SCALAR | November 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,135 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 |
| 338d | December 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | −$18 −1.6% | — | |
| 339d | pako | December 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,595 | −$41 −1.6% | — |
| 345d | romanticpaul | December 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,573 | +$68 +1.9% | 20 |
| 346d | rcnas1u3w8tb | November 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,514 | −$21 −0.6% | — |
| 346d | bfdhktsuhcao | November 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,514 | −$21 −0.6% | — |
| 346d | qspaqtdo391y | November 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,505 | −$25 −0.7% | — |
| 346d | snvvxe1bro5o | November 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,515 | −$25 −0.7% | — |
| 346d | qspaqtdo391y | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,502 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 346d | snvvxe1bro5o | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,512 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 347d | bexbb7iedo49 | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,494 | +$21 +0.6% | 20 |
| 347d | svnhrih67qzk | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,494 | +$21 +0.6% | 20 |
| 347d | pfjhwbuspdyb | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,492 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 347d | inlaazcdoiu0 | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,482 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 347d | dqxbmg38vjhm | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,490 | +$25 +0.7% | 20 |
| 347d | pgepcmlhsoyl | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,490 | +$25 +0.7% | 20 |
| 347d | bhpjg4e8esap | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,492 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 347d | sqcoe7poksmu | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,482 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 349d | ruuqvofaninq | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,528 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 349d | jterew02yvhc | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,498 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 351d | scncadfwsopd | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,501 | +$39 +1.1% | 20 |
| 351d | kmixepi4nfd1 | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,462 | +$39 +1.1% | 20 |
| 351d | xmdtaqj74h65 | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,484 | +$46 +1.3% | 20 |
| 351d | rhuds4qwrvj7 | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,464 | +$46 +1.3% | 20 |
| 351d | yftse456de5 | November 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 351d | 54es6y4syrt | November 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,705 | −$15 −0.9% | — |
| 351d | 643e567y5es6tr | November 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,657 | −$15 −0.9% | — |
| 351d | yftse456de5 | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 351d | 54es6y4syrt | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 351d | 643e567y5es6tr | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,655 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 351d | 54e7y65es4te54y | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$12 +0.8% | 20 |
| 351d | 45est7uywa4wa4wa4 | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 351d | yh5e3suy76re5t | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,705 | +$14 +0.8% | 20 |
| 352d | owwkcl8h4gc5 | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,478 | +$42 +1.2% | 20 |
| 352d | fpnggf4ve0hn | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,491 | +$42 +1.2% | 20 |
| 352d | fbvsqyjx13d2 | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,452 | +$38 +1.1% | 20 |
| 352d | blnfxurh76yp | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,462 | +$39 +1.1% | 20 |
| 352d | qugdoy5wmqwn | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,448 | +$42 +1.2% | 20 |
| 352d | qjhmbx0wfl47 | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,458 | +$42 +1.2% | 20 |
| 353d | Lisbon | November 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 353d | Lolololol3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,687 | +$382 +3.3% | 20 |
| 354d | December 31 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | −$51 −2.9% | — | |
| 357d | Lisbon | October 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 358d | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,127 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 359d | pako | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,520 | +$126 +5.0% | 20 |
| 359d | pako2 fills | October 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,237 | +$133 +2.5% | 20 |
| 360d | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,670 | −$410 −4.7% | — | |
| 367d | Kedrick999 | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,358 | −$44 −1.3% | — |
| 367d | Kedrick999 | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,378 | +$24 +0.7% | 20 |
| 368d | Lisbon3 fills | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,736 | +$44 +0.8% | 20 |
| 368d | Folletin | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | −$44 −3.7% | — |
| 368d | fabian600liana | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,273 | −$206 −4.8% | — |
| 368d | barney73selena | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,273 | −$206 −4.8% | — |
| 368d | kalekiran7743 | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,179 | −$209 −5.0% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Cook announces her resignation or otherwise ceases to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between August 25, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official announcements of Cook's resignation or removal made before her term is scheduled to end, made by either Cook or the Board of Governors, will qualify. Announcements from Trump or his administration will not alone qualify. Temporary absences or attempts at termination which do not actually remove Cook from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for September 30 means the market gives it about 0%.