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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 0¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$200 +0.0% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 190 | 0¢ → 100¢ | $190 | +$190 +0.0% |
| House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 161 | 0¢ → 100¢ | $161 | +$161 +0.0% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 77 | 0¢ → 100¢ | $77 | +$77 +0.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 0¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 253 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$154 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 254 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 158 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BuyYes30¢ | $76 |
| 162d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ | $73 |
| 162d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ | $0 |
| 163d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ | $0 |
| 163d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SellNo81¢ | $0 |
| 163d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SellNo81¢ | $0 |
| 164d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ | $1 |
| 164d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ | $1 |
| 164d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SellNo81¢ | $0 |
| 246d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyNo61¢ | $77 |
| 246d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyNo61¢ | $77 |
| 246d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ | $101 |
| 246d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ | $0 |
| 246d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ | $0 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.