| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$34 +20% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 52¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$96 +92% |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$22 +12% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 100 | 45¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$51 +113% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 100 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$20 +26% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 100 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$27 +41% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 100 | 49¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$43 +87% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 68¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$18 +26% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | No | 100 | 79¢ → 51¢ | $51 | −$28 −36% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$12 +32% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$8 +18% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Ends in 12d | Yes | 86 | 83¢ → 57¢ | $49 | −$22 −31% |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$4 +10% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 77d | Yes | 50 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$9 +23% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 178d | No | 50 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $41 | +$4 +10% |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 40 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$2 +4.5% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 240 | 26¢ → 16¢ | $38 | −$24 −38% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 12d | Yes | 50 | 46¢ → 68¢ | $34 | +$11 +47% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | Yes | 50 | 40¢ → 49¢ | $25 | +$4 +22% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 367d | Yes | 50 | 47¢ → 47¢ | $23 | −$0 −1.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 12d | Yes | 80 | 42¢ → 26¢ | $20 | −$13 −39% |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 57¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$9 +75% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.9% |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$3 +17% |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 62¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$6 +49% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 50 | 54¢ → 33¢ | $16 | −$11 −40% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 74¢ → 64¢ | $13 | −$2 −14% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 50 | 74¢ → 22¢ | $11 | −$26 −70% |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → 50¢ | $10 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 160d | Yes | 10 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +36% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 100 | 55¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$46 −82% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 100 | 23¢ → 8¢ | $8 | −$16 −67% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 46¢ → 14¢ | $7 | −$16 −68% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 120 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$10 −62% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 5 | 33¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$3 +193% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 41¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$3 −41% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 100 | 48¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$44 −92% |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 6 | 16¢ → 58¢ | $3 | +$2 +263% |
| Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 100 | 33¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$32 −95% |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$13 −90% |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 57d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −99% |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $79 Week of May 18 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 508 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 64 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Brandon Roy be the next Portland Trail Blazers head coach?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
