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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 100% | +21 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 38d |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Boston Red Sox | 0% | −5 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| New York Yankees | 0% | −10 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Chicago White Sox | 0% | −14 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Cleveland Guardians | 0% | −21 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Detroit Tigers | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Kansas City Royals | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Minnesota Twins | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Houston Astros | 0% | −5 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Athletics | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Seattle Mariners | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Texas Rangers | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 38d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d |  sharpnochase3 fills | Tampa Bay Rays | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $10,047 | −$5,681 −57% | — |
| 4d | welcometowinnercircle | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,014 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 4d | welcometowinnercircle2 fills | Tampa Bay Rays | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,537 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 4d | MenacingTurtle3 fills | Tampa Bay Rays | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $6,089 | +$968 +16% | 4 |
| 4d |  tunatyler | Tampa Bay Rays | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $4,030 | −$970 −24% | — |
| 5d |  baseballlover | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$330 +24% | 4 |
| 8d | MenacingTurtle2 fills | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $3,190 | +$1,425 +45% | 4 |
| 9d | PLB2 fills | Tampa Bay Rays | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,309 | −$2,486 −75% | — |
| 10d | omoi0i0 | Cleveland Guardians | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,576 | −$1,576 −100% | 4 |
| 11d |  HukaBars3 fills | Tampa Bay Rays | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $5,948 | +$3,453 +58% | 4 |
| 11d | WarriorH | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | +$806 +57% | 4 |
| 11d | qurty | Tampa Bay Rays | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$5,700 +57% | 4 |
| 12d | janglinjack | Cleveland Guardians | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | 0F624 fills | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $8,454 | +$4,681 +55% | 4 |
| 13d | LCB1 | Cleveland Guardians | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $5,810 | −$5,810 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | +$702 +54% | 4 |
| 13d | welcometowinnercircle | Chicago White Sox | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,835 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 13d | 0F626 fills | Chicago White Sox | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $19,862 | +$3,815 +19% | 4 |
| 15d | sharpnochase4 fills | Tampa Bay Rays | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$5,728 +57% | 4 |
| 16d | welcometowinnercircle | New York Yankees | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,382 | +$64 +1.9% | 4 |
| 16d | purplegatto2 fills | New York Yankees | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,969 | +$274 +4.6% | 4 |
| 20d | purplegatto2 fills | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,822 | +$477 +12% | 4 |
| 21d | onlyinvegas | Tampa Bay Rays | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $3,256 | −$3,256 −100% | 4 |
| 23d | TaichiGrandiMaster2 fills | Boston Red Sox | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,308 | +$28 +0.2% | 4 |
| 23d |  CosmicCedar | Boston Red Sox | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,552 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 23d | CosmicCedar | Houston Astros | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,571 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 23d | MenacingTurtle | Houston Astros | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | +$45 +2.1% | 4 |
| 25d | purplegatto | Chicago White Sox | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,673 | +$302 +6.5% | 4 |
| 25d | purplegatto | New York Yankees | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 4 |
| 26d |  Nooserac | New York Yankees | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,571 | +$529 +34% | 4 |
| 26d | LCB1 | Texas Rangers | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,091 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 27d | Nicksypoo | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$281 +28% | 4 |
| 30d | LCB1 | Toronto Blue Jays | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,606 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 33d | 033033033 | Seattle Mariners | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,114 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 33d | CosmicCedar | Detroit Tigers | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,879 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 37d | 033033033 | Minnesota Twins | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,631 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 51d | onlyinvegas3 fills | Detroit Tigers | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,239 | +$47 +1.1% | 4 |
| 55d | 033033033 | Athletics | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,772 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 55d | 033033033 | Los Angeles Angels | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,552 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 78d | onlyinvegas | Boston Red Sox | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | +$342 +21% | 4 |
| 133d | bloomtrust | Los Angeles Angels | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,187 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 134d | dogesky | Los Angeles Angels | SellNo>99¢ | $1,240 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 134d | dogesky | Los Angeles Angels | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,206 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 136d | reserveharmony2055 | Los Angeles Angels | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,169 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 154d | WilentrLWOsolf5 fills | Chicago White Sox | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $65,624 | −$450 −0.7% | — |
| 154d | WilentrLWOsolf5 fills | Chicago White Sox | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $66,124 | +$401 +0.6% | 4 |
| 164d |  mooseborzoi | Detroit Tigers | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$86 +6.4% | 4 |
| 210d | seniorChair2 fills | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,753 | +$199 +7.2% | 4 |
| 210d | draft578 | Houston Astros | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$121 +8.1% | 4 |
| 210d | identifybe35 | Cleveland Guardians | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$87 −7.5% | — |
| 210d | seniorChair | Cleveland Guardians | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | −$109 −7.5% | — |
| 210d | draft578 | Cleveland Guardians | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$112 −7.5% | — |
| 210d | Abuseyq23 | Cleveland Guardians | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | −$94 −7.5% | — |
| 210d | identifybe35 | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$86 +7.4% | 4 |
| 210d | draft5782 fills | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,678 | +$173 +6.5% | 4 |
| 210d | Hubmc38 | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | +$154 +10% | 4 |
| 210d | steakTreat | Texas Rangers | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | −$45 −4.2% | — |
| 210d | glareLuxury | Houston Astros | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$63 +6.0% | 4 |
| 210d | Ranch-Undo2 fills | Cleveland Guardians | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | −$174 −7.6% | — |
| 210d | fold444 | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$118 +10% | 4 |
funplayer-500 shares
balthazar333 sharesThis market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tampa Bay Rays means the market gives it about 100%.