| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 17,800 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $15,753 | +$906 +6.1% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10,279 | 73¢ → 74¢ | $7,555 | +$28 +0.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 6,230 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $4,330 | −$46 −1.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,239 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $3,850 | +$98 +2.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,213 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $3,623 | −$17 −0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 8,279 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $3,519 | +$41 +1.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10,100 | 43¢ → 33¢ | $3,282 | −$1,094 −25% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,000 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $2,980 | +$52 +1.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6,861 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $2,916 | +$34 +1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 3,721 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $2,195 | −$163 −6.9% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 3,678 | 69¢ → 57¢ | $2,096 | −$460 −18% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 2,386 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $2,004 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 6,620 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $1,887 | −$69 −3.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,500 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $1,870 | +$115 +6.6% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 3,965 | 48¢ → 44¢ | $1,725 | −$177 −9.3% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 10,888 | 37¢ → 15¢ | $1,644 | −$2,333 −59% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,121 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $1,622 | −$145 −8.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 2,049 | 67¢ → 63¢ | $1,280 | −$90 −6.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,292 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $1,137 | +$65 +6.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,267 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $1,126 | +$75 +7.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,331 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $1,111 | −$11 −0.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,987 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $1,057 | +$117 +13% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 1,517 | 29¢ → 68¢ | $1,032 | +$592 +135% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,538 | 30¢ → 39¢ | $977 | +$217 +29% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 844 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $816 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,578 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $805 | −$130 −14% |
| Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,058 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $709 | +$45 +6.8% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | No | 2,343 | 27¢ → 29¢ | $680 | +$53 +8.4% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 9,558 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $674 | +$14 +2.1% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 633 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $579 | +$84 +17% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 7,500 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $563 | −$292 −34% |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 561 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $561 | +$24 +4.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 1,038 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $560 | −$86 −13% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?Ends in 18d | No | 659 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $557 | +$40 +7.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,800 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $549 | −$27 −4.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 560 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $529 | +$52 +11% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 1,481 | 46¢ → 34¢ | $496 | −$185 −27% |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 12,342 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $481 | −$194 −29% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,056 | 43¢ → 46¢ | $480 | +$23 +5.1% |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,404 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $477 | +$38 +8.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 800 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $476 | −$20 −4.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 1,996 | 33¢ → 23¢ | $464 | −$191 −29% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 585 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $459 | +$9 +1.9% |
| Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 56d | No | 2,127 | 11¢ → 22¢ | $457 | +$220 +93% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,398 | 44¢ → 33¢ | $454 | −$165 −27% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 730 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $449 | −$5 −1.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 614 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $436 | −$6 −1.4% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Ends in 18d | No | 682 | 66¢ → 62¢ | $419 | −$31 −6.9% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4,132 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $393 | +$104 +36% |
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 414 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $377 | +$24 +6.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,122 | 22¢ → 12¢ | $362 | −$332 −48% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 468 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $361 | +$4 +1.2% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?Ends in 18d | Yes | 3,702 | 16¢ → 10¢ | $352 | −$230 −40% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 1,155 | 62¢ → 30¢ | $347 | −$375 −52% |
| Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Ends in 159d | Yes | 426 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $343 | −$23 −6.3% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 401 | 63¢ → 83¢ | $333 | +$81 +32% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 322 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $310 | +$25 +8.8% |
| Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 26d | No | 457 | 56¢ → 66¢ | $302 | +$48 +19% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 7,795 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $300 | −$193 −39% |
| West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 321 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $299 | +$5 +1.8% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 437 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $297 | +$7 +2.4% |
| Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Ends in 13d | No | 396 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $283 | +$9 +3.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,111 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $274 | +$57 +26% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 752 | 34¢ → 37¢ | $274 | +$21 +8.4% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?Ends in 18d | Yes | 1,013 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $268 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 2,411 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $265 | −$48 −15% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 387 | 16¢ → 67¢ | $258 | +$197 +328% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 268 | 69¢ → 96¢ | $257 | +$71 +38% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 16,417 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $254 | −$442 −63% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 371 | 57¢ → 64¢ | $236 | +$24 +11% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Ends in 11d | Yes | 409 | 58¢ → 57¢ | $235 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 286 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $232 | +$5 +2.2% |
| Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Ends in 13d | No | 241 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $228 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 557 | 40¢ → 39¢ | $217 | −$7 −3.0% |
| Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 56d | Yes | 950 | 15¢ → 22¢ | $211 | +$64 +44% |
| Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Ends in 13d | No | 331 | 59¢ → 64¢ | $210 | +$14 +7.0% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | No | 512 | 45¢ → 41¢ | $210 | −$21 −9.3% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 248 | 22¢ → 83¢ | $206 | +$150 +270% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 224 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $186 | +$23 +14% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 185 | 70¢ → 97¢ | $179 | +$50 +38% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,756 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $178 | +$34 +24% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 6,156 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $172 | −$103 −37% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 794 | 13¢ → 22¢ | $171 | +$64 +60% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,164 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $163 | +$19 +13% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 167 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $162 | +$33 +25% |
| Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Ends in 159d | Yes | 162 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $153 | +$10 +6.8% |
| Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 970 | 7¢ → 14¢ | $141 | +$72 +104% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 210 | 64¢ → 66¢ | $139 | +$5 +3.5% |
| Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 4d | No | 170 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $133 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 389 | 27¢ → 34¢ | $132 | +$27 +26% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,854 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $130 | −$103 −44% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,004 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $125 | +$25 +25% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 221 | 59¢ → 54¢ | $119 | −$10 −8.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 3,439 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $112 | −$200 −64% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 207 | 55¢ → 52¢ | $108 | −$6 −5.6% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 189 | 52¢ → 56¢ | $107 | +$8 +8.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 638 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $102 | −$15 −13% |
| Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 101 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $99 | +$6 +6.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 144 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $95 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 350 | 45¢ → 27¢ | $93 | −$63 −41% |
