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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 0 pts | — | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $1.36K | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  Donny.T | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo96¢ | $1,101 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 6d |  estuprador3 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $5,656 | −$19 −0.3% | 6 |
| 16d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $4,608 | +$98 +2.1% | 8 |
| 18d | Ajjooli | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,125 | +$12 +1.1% | 7 |
| 18d | Another-Allowance | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,234 | +$24 +1.1% | 7 |
| 21d | Elias.Thornwell | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $1,216 | $0 0.0% | 7 |
| 44d | alwaysOn4 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 96¢ | $15,384 | −$424 −2.8% | — |
| 45d | alwaysOn5 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $16,902 | +$452 +2.7% | 8 |
| 49d | selador | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 96¢ | $18,643 | −$557 −3.0% | — |
| 50d | selador3 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $10,310 | +$250 +2.4% | 8 |
| 81d | Topgold1 | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes6¢ → 4¢ | $1,345 | +$402 +30% | — |
| 85d | h038596027355 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $1,582 | +$51 +3.2% | 9 |
| 88d | Topgold1 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes8¢ → 4¢ | $1,904 | −$961 −50% | 29 |
| 105d | QMG-SCALAR2 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $2,910 | −$62 −2.1% | — |
| 106d | estuprador2 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $2,679 | −$57 −2.1% | — |
| 106d | QMG-CORE2 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo91¢ → 96¢ | $8,220 | −$420 −5.1% | — |
| 108d | Pink-Subgroup | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $4,700 | +$100 +2.1% | 8 |
| 108d | BetPure | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes6¢ → 4¢ | $1,554 | +$564 +36% | — |
| 111d |  Talophex | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 96¢ | $1,840 | +$80 +4.3% | 9 |
| 118d | justme003 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $1,030 | +$57 +5.5% | 10 |
| 130d | WayneWarren9480 | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo89¢ → 96¢ | $1,665 | −$131 −7.9% | — |
| 132d | fledger2 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo90¢ → 96¢ | $3,036 | −$202 −6.7% | — |
| 135d | fledger | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 96¢ | $4,500 | +$300 +6.7% | 11 |
| 142d |  debased | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 96¢ | $2,979 | −$271 −9.1% | — |
| 147d |  O3O | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 96¢ | $1,800 | +$120 +6.7% | 11 |
| 149d | Rmimo2020PM | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes11¢ → 4¢ | $2,458 | +$1,558 +63% | — |
| 149d | BetPure | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes12¢ → 4¢ | $1,500 | −$1,000 −67% | 27 |
| 151d | Bet1nthedark | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $3,500 | +$275 +7.9% | 11 |
| 151d | enrico-vasaio | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $2,670 | +$210 +7.9% | 11 |
| 153d | Rmimo2020PM | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes11¢ → 4¢ | $2,000 | −$1,283 −64% | 29 |
| 154d | 23449 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes12¢ → 4¢ | $1,186 | −$786 −66% | 25 |
| 156d | PublioCornelio | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes12¢ → 4¢ | $1,061 | −$705 −66% | 24 |
| 156d | ArcturianEndevours | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes10¢ → 4¢ | $1,460 | +$873 +60% | — |
| 157d |  Ismaelvisionario | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo89¢ → 96¢ | $2,097 | −$165 −7.9% | — |
| 157d |  Hyperlong | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $2,095 | +$190 +9.1% | 12 |
| 158d | Ismaelvisionario | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $2,073 | +$188 +9.1% | 12 |
| 158d | PassiveStrike | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo87¢ → 96¢ | $1,218 | +$126 +10% | 13 |
| 159d | leanator | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 96¢ | $2,588 | −$227 −8.8% | — |
| 162d | newbiereal | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes10¢ → 4¢ | $1,553 | +$954 +61% | — |
| 166d | longdated-poli | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo84¢ → 96¢ | $1,063 | −$156 −15% | — |
| 166d | newbiereal | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes14¢ → 4¢ | $2,128 | −$1,507 −71% | 29 |
| 166d | 123pocky | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $1,628 | +$128 +7.9% | 11 |
| 167d | QMG-SCALAR3 fills | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 96¢ | $6,855 | +$781 +11% | 13 |
| 168d | alchimik | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes14¢ → 4¢ | $1,019 | −$730 −72% | 24 |
| 170d |  Brokie | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $2,572 | +$202 +7.9% | 11 |
| 177d | QMG-CORE | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $4,530 | +$270 +6.0% | 10 |
| 207d | JenniferWilliams2856 | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,244 | −$113 −9.1% | — |
| 207d | 6n5 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,146 | +$104 +9.1% | 12 |
| 207d | 0x9243 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,631 | +$148 +9.1% | 12 |
| 208d | JenniferWilliams2856 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,244 | +$113 +9.1% | 12 |
| 212d | pichwish | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,166 | +$106 +9.1% | 12 |
| 214d | BrandonHamilton3527 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,165 | +$106 +9.1% | 12 |
| 215d | EdwardBryant6165 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,389 | +$126 +9.1% | 12 |
| 221d | WayneWarren9480 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,646 | +$150 +9.1% | 12 |
| 239d | 6515616 | New pandemic in 2026? | SellYes13¢ → 4¢ | $1,251 | +$851 +68% | — |
| 248d | 6515616 | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes18¢ → 4¢ | $2,246 | −$1,740 −77% | 29 |
| 271d | Revolving-Darn | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo85¢ → 96¢ | $1,105 | +$143 +13% | 14 |
| 273d | PassiveStrike | New pandemic in 2026? | SellNo82¢ → 96¢ | $1,803 | −$309 −17% | — |
| 280d | BluntTruthGentleman | New pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes15¢ → 4¢ | $1,344 | −$980 −73% | 26 |
estuprador13,387 shares
DEGENKHAN12,527 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 4%.