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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 84% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 83¢ · 84¢ (1¢) | $805 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | Anhedonia100 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo17¢ | $1,358 | +$46 +3.4% | — |
| 25d |  SirHarryOakes3 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes84¢ | $4,333 | −$30 −0.7% | 15 |
| 45d | Silky-Trapezium | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo16¢ → 17¢ | $1,082 | −$53 −4.9% | — |
| 51d | Silky-Trapezium | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo21¢ → 17¢ | $1,000 | −$230 −23% | 24 |
| 67d | MissaoComFlavio | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes82¢ → 84¢ | $1,870 | +$34 +1.8% | 16 |
| 80d |  FastPaws | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes78¢ → 84¢ | $1,470 | +$104 +7.1% | 19 |
| 82d |  Outsid3rTrading | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes80¢ → 84¢ | $1,069 | +$47 +4.4% | 17 |
| 131d |  Sylvester.the.Cat | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes74¢ → 84¢ | $1,845 | +$239 +13% | 21 |
| 150d |  Valen9 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes70¢ → 84¢ | $6,966 | −$1,341 −19% | — |
| 152d | denizz6 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes64¢ → 84¢ | $10,248 | +$3,180 +31% | 24 |
| 160d |  Dankwizart420 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes52¢ → 84¢ | $3,967 | −$2,343 −59% | — |
| 166d |  Apple12345 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes72¢ → 84¢ | $1,400 | +$222 +16% | 23 |
| 170d |  RogerFed | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo33¢ → 17¢ | $1,493 | +$740 +50% | — |
| 170d |  Mr-Krabs | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes63¢ → 84¢ | $1,386 | +$451 +33% | 24 |
| 172d | fkmagafkelon | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo36¢ → 17¢ | $2,316 | +$1,256 +54% | — |
| 198d | Valen92 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes41¢ → 84¢ | $6,614 | +$7,015 +106% | 27 |
| 210d |  shingoWAKAYAMA | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo68¢ → 17¢ | $1,023 | −$775 −76% | 24 |
| 217d |  1sk | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo65¢ → 17¢ | $1,460 | −$1,090 −75% | 24 |
| 219d |  mrtrump | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo58¢ → 17¢ | $2,021 | −$1,446 −72% | 24 |
| 234d |  seems1126 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo52¢ → 17¢ | $1,217 | +$828 +68% | — |
| 241d | justme003 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes55¢ → 84¢ | $1,839 | +$953 +52% | 24 |
| 241d | csgb | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo47¢ → 17¢ | $2,315 | +$1,502 +65% | — |
| 255d | randomlypunting | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo38¢ → 17¢ | $1,162 | −$657 −57% | 24 |
| 262d | chong358 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo44¢ → 17¢ | $1,572 | +$978 +62% | — |
| 264d | csgb | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo49¢ → 17¢ | $2,416 | −$1,607 −67% | 24 |
| 266d | chong358 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo51¢ → 17¢ | $2,199 | −$1,484 −67% | 24 |
| 271d | fkmagafkelon | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo60¢ → 17¢ | $1,427 | −$1,038 −73% | 24 |
| 272d | fkmagafkelon | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes49¢ → 84¢ | $1,359 | −$938 −69% | — |
| 273d | fkmagafkelon | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes51¢ → 84¢ | $1,400 | +$897 +64% | 24 |
| 282d | Better-DeadNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellNo59¢ → 17¢ | $1,551 | +$1,117 +72% | — |
| 286d | Better-DeadNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo55¢ → 17¢ | $1,440 | −$1,006 −70% | 36 |
| 286d | seems1126 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo51¢ → 17¢ | $2,580 | −$1,745 −68% | 24 |
| 288d |  CoffeeLover | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo49¢ → 17¢ | $1,305 | −$870 −67% | 24 |
| 289d | Livid-IndexNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 84¢ | $2,952 | −$3,060 −104% | — |
| 289d | Red-MessyNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 84¢ | $2,952 | −$3,060 −104% | — |
| 289d | Diligent-MapleNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 84¢ | $2,952 | −$3,060 −104% | — |
| 289d | Unpleasant-SpeakerphoneNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 84¢ | $2,952 | −$3,060 −104% | — |
| 289d | Nippy-SubwayNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 84¢ | $2,952 | −$3,060 −104% | — |
| 289d | Posh-RingwormNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 84¢ | $2,952 | −$3,060 −104% | — |
| 289d | Nimble-PowerNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 84¢ | $2,952 | −$3,060 −104% | — |
| 289d | Writhing-CampaignNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 84¢ | $2,952 | −$3,060 −104% | — |
| 289d | Vapid-RepositoryNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 84¢ | $2,952 | −$3,060 −104% | — |
| 289d | Jaded-MajorNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SellYes41¢ → 84¢ | $2,952 | −$3,060 −104% | — |
| 289d | Nippy-SubwayNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 84¢ | $3,024 | +$2,988 +99% | 35 |
| 289d | Unpleasant-SpeakerphoneNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 84¢ | $3,024 | +$2,988 +99% | 35 |
| 289d | Jaded-MajorNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 84¢ | $3,024 | +$2,988 +99% | 35 |
| 289d | Posh-RingwormNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 84¢ | $3,024 | +$2,988 +99% | 35 |
| 289d | Diligent-MapleNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 84¢ | $3,024 | +$2,988 +99% | 35 |
| 289d | Red-MessyNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 84¢ | $3,024 | +$2,988 +99% | 35 |
| 289d | Writhing-CampaignNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 84¢ | $3,024 | +$2,988 +99% | 35 |
| 289d | Vapid-RepositoryNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 84¢ | $3,024 | +$2,988 +99% | 35 |
| 289d | Livid-IndexNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 84¢ | $3,024 | +$2,988 +99% | 35 |
| 289d | Nimble-PowerNew account | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyYes42¢ → 84¢ | $3,024 | +$2,988 +99% | 35 |
| 289d | tl9649520 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 17¢ | $4,392 | −$3,204 −73% | 24 |
| 289d | doh108641 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 17¢ | $4,392 | −$3,204 −73% | 24 |
| 289d | qha274850 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 17¢ | $4,392 | −$3,204 −73% | 24 |
| 289d | hongtruc5826g | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 17¢ | $4,392 | −$3,204 −73% | 24 |
| 289d | holinh7263o | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 17¢ | $4,392 | −$3,204 −73% | 24 |
| 289d | mactuyet56 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 17¢ | $4,392 | −$3,204 −73% | 24 |
| 289d | lakhanh8258f | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BuyNo61¢ → 17¢ | $4,392 | −$3,204 −73% | 24 |
SirHarryOakes10,312 sharesValen97,846 shares
SwissMiss6,492 sharesFastPaws3,717 shares
Bulan10,021 shares
Roflan-ludoman9,546 sharesThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 84¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 84%.