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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | — | — | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28d |  hwey346ed3 fills | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BuyNo90¢ → 93¢ | $3,931 | +$122 +3.1% | 4 |
| 103d | lowrisk24 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 93¢ | $3,115 | +$275 +8.8% | 4 |
| 103d | justme003 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ → 93¢ | $1,472 | +$149 +10% | 4 |
| 220d | JohnKing7949 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BuyNo76¢ → 93¢ | $1,154 | +$251 +22% | 4 |
Wojtek1,534 shares
perps-01sqko851,186 shareshwey346ed9,835 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 8¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 8%.