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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk | 26% | +2 pts | −3 pts | 24¢ · 27¢ (3¢) | $1.59K | in 142d |
| By Any Means - By Any Means | 66% | — | +12 pts | 55¢ · 77¢ (22¢) | — | in 142d |
| La Nieve - The Black Ball | 90% | — | +4 pts | 89¢ · 91¢ (2¢) | — | in 142d |
| I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 5 | 81% | +3 pts | +5 pts | 72¢ · 89¢ (17¢) | — | in 142d |
| Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 37% | −14 pts | +19 pts | 22¢ · 52¢ (30¢) | $570 | in 142d |
| Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn | 1% | −12 pts | −14 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $356 | in 142d |
| Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth! | 36% | +9 pts | +19 pts | 35¢ · 37¢ (2¢) | $267 | in 142d |
| This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut | 83% | −11 pts | +18 pts | 77¢ · 89¢ (11¢) | $217 | in 142d |
| How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad | 32% | +4 pts | +8 pts | 18¢ · 46¢ (28¢) | $46.7 | in 142d |
| When I'm Home - The Odyssey | 32% | −2 pts | −13 pts | 28¢ · 36¢ (8¢) | $35 | in 142d |
| Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights | 2% | −1 pts | −10 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $10 | in 142d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Reckless-Estrogen-CompetenceNew account | Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights | BuyNo75¢ → 98¢ | $3,365 | +$1,056 +31% | 47 |
Haradwaith358 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Song. If a song is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Song when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 26¢ for Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk means the market gives it about 26%.