| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $496 | +$26 +5.4% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $492 | +$17 +3.5% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $484 | +$4 +0.9% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $470 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $453 | +$9 +2.1% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $438 | +$43 +11% |
| Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 338 | 70¢ → 75¢ | $254 | +$18 +7.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 328 | 56¢ → 76¢ | $247 | +$63 +34% |
| Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 239 | 78¢ → 98¢ | $233 | +$47 +25% |
| Will The Birthday Gift win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 210 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $201 | +$7 +3.8% |
| Will Wildwood win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 216 | 95¢ → 90¢ | $194 | −$12 −5.7% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 297 | 60¢ → 65¢ | $191 | +$14 +7.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 203 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $181 | +$7 +4.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $172 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 202 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $165 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 150 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $126 | +$17 +16% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 160 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $122 | +$10 +8.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 187 | 50¢ → 64¢ | $120 | +$26 +28% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 124 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $116 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 228 | 54¢ → 50¢ | $113 | −$10 −8.5% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 180 | 50¢ → 59¢ | $106 | +$17 +19% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 226 | 49¢ → 47¢ | $105 | −$7 −5.9% |
| Will Dog Alone win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 110 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $104 | +$10 +10% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 103 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $98 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 97 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $85 | +$7 +8.6% |
| Will "Dog Alone" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 121 | 18¢ → 62¢ | $75 | +$54 +254% |
| Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 110 | 74¢ → 68¢ | $75 | −$7 −8.1% |
| Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?Ends in 8d | No | 80 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $74 | +$2 +2.5% |
| Will "Madden" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 79 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $66 | +$7 +12% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 67 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $64 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 64 | 73¢ → 98¢ | $63 | +$16 +34% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $63 | −$52 −45% |
| Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 209 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $52 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 12d | Yes | 262 | 43¢ → 20¢ | $51 | −$61 −55% |
| Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 55 | 87¢ → 83¢ | $46 | −$2 −4.6% |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 202 | 18¢ → 22¢ | $44 | +$9 +24% |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $43 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 48 | 72¢ → 87¢ | $42 | +$7 +20% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 50 | 65¢ → 84¢ | $42 | +$9 +29% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 69d | Yamal | 150 | 45¢ → 28¢ | $41 | −$26 −39% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 50 | 71¢ → 83¢ | $41 | +$6 +16% |
| Beezie FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 110 | 27¢ → 37¢ | $41 | +$11 +37% |
| Will "Rose" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 43 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $35 | +$4 +13% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 150 | 51¢ → 23¢ | $35 | −$41 −54% |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 59 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $35 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027?Ends in 189d | Yes | 97 | 28¢ → 35¢ | $34 | +$6 +23% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 203 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $34 | +$2 +7.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 170 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $30 | −$6 −17% |
| Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 120 | 23¢ → 25¢ | $29 | +$2 +6.5% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 62¢ → 76¢ | $29 | +$5 +22% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $29 | +$5 +21% |
| Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 31 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $29 | +$2 +8.2% |
| Will "The Birthday Gift" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 259 | 18¢ → 11¢ | $28 | −$19 −40% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 50 | 60¢ → 56¢ | $28 | −$2 −5.7% |
| Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $28 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?Ends in 434d | No | 28 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $27 | +$4 +20% |
| Will Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $27 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 134 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $26 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?Ends in 250d | Yes | 122 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $24 | +$2 +8.1% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 40 | 65¢ → 54¢ | $21 | −$5 −18% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 50 | 43¢ → 43¢ | $21 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 160 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $21 | −$6 −22% |
| Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 33 | 65¢ → 62¢ | $20 | −$1 −4.0% |
| Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 666 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $19 | −$4 −17% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $19 | −$3 −14% |
| Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 50 | 43¢ → 38¢ | $19 | −$3 −13% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 20 | 55¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$8 +70% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 30 | 44¢ → 60¢ | $18 | +$5 +35% |
| Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $18 | −$9 −34% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 38 | 41¢ → 45¢ | $17 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 30 | 49¢ → 56¢ | $17 | +$2 +14% |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 243 | 39¢ → 7¢ | $16 | −$79 −83% |
| Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $16 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $16 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 660 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $15 | −$6 −28% |
| Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 221 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $12 | +$8 +174% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 83 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $12 | −$1 −8.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 45 | 60¢ → 25¢ | $11 | −$16 −58% |
| Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 15 | 74¢ → 69¢ | $11 | −$1 −7.1% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 55¢ → 53¢ | $10 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | Yes | 50 | 45¢ → 20¢ | $10 | −$13 −56% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 20 | 38¢ → 48¢ | $10 | +$2 +25% |
| Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 10 | 70¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$2 +35% |
| Will "Meeting Your Maker" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 13 | 59¢ → 69¢ | $9 | +$1 +17% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 112 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $8 | −$1 −7.3% |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 12d | Yes | 185 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $8 | −$22 −72% |
| Will "Madden" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 50 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $7 | −$1 −9.4% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 80 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $7 | −$3 −29% |
| Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 160 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $7 | +$5 +246% |
| Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 9 | 74¢ → 73¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 9 | 72¢ → 69¢ | $6 | −$0 −4.4% |
| Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 35 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $6 | −$1 −17% |
| Will Stephanie Cameron win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 9 | 48¢ → 63¢ | $6 | +$1 +30% |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 180 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $5 | +$1 +33% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 70 | 50¢ → 7¢ | $5 | −$30 −87% |
| Will Canza launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 9 | 48¢ → 45¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.7% |
| Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 62 | 1¢ → 6¢ | $4 | +$4 +910% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 43 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $4 | −$2 −29% |
| Will Rose win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 104 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $3 | +$3 +341% |
