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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $39 trillion | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $38 trillion | 100% | +2 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $37 trillion | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $40 trillion | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 293d | MistahFox | $39 trillion | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,372 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 293d | MaxPowell2 fills | $39 trillion | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,146 | +$185 +3.0% | 4 |
| 296d | MaxPowell | $40 trillion | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,535 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 333d | thebetter1234 | $39 trillion | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$55 +5.3% | 4 |
| 366d | Michael5289 | $38 trillion | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,280 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 368d |  timothe | $38 trillion | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$20 −2.0% | — |
| 394d | CompulsiveGambler | $38 trillion | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | −$164 −12% | — |
| 437d |  AgricultureSecretary | $37 trillion | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,590 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 437d | InsiderrrZ | $37 trillion | SellYes>99¢ | $1,457 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 437d |  cy6erpunker3 fills | $37 trillion | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,000 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 449d | InsiderrrZ | $37 trillion | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$18 +1.2% | 4 |
| 450d | CompulsiveGambler | $38 trillion | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$304 +24% | 4 |
| 470d | NAA | $38 trillion | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 4 |
Savage51 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $39 trillion means the market gives it about 0%.