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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guilherme Derrite | 100% | +2 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| André do Prado | 0% | −2 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dra. Eliana Ferreira | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ednelson Cesaretti | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Geraldo Rufino | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maíra de Souza | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marcio Alves | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marina Silva | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Petter Maahs | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Salles | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Simone Tebet | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Soninha Francine | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weller Gonçalves | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| William Teixeira | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | riobaldo | Guilherme Derrite | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$124 +12% | 13 |
| 20d | Pleased-Lunge | Guilherme Derrite | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$266 +19% | 14 |
| 20d | themain4 fills | Guilherme Derrite | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $12,657 | +$4,589 +36% | 12 |
| 20d | themain | Marina Silva | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,330 | +$165 +7.1% | 11 |
| 20d | MissaoComFlavio2 fills | Marina Silva | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,304 | +$326 +6.1% | 10 |
| 21d | TwisTii | Guilherme Derrite | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$495 +45% | 15 |
| 23d | LulaVaiPerder | Simone Tebet | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$87 +4.0% | 10 |
| 23d | LulaVaiPerder | Marina Silva | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | +$130 +5.1% | 10 |
| 23d | Votei14Voude222 fills | Simone Tebet | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,133 | +$467 +6.6% | 10 |
| 23d | Votei14Voude222 fills | Marina Silva | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,861 | +$392 +8.1% | 10 |
| 23d | MissaoComFlavio2 fills | Simone Tebet | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,504 | +$556 +7.4% | 10 |
| 24d | neutralwave23 | Marina Silva | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,875 | +$207 +7.2% | 10 |
| 30d | Votei14Voude22 | Guilherme Derrite | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$242 +24% | 10 |
| 48d | valetecaolho | Guilherme Derrite | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$1,329 +122% | 10 |
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Guilherme Derrite means the market gives it about 100%.