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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moderate Party (M) | 100% | 0 pts | +82 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden Democrats (SD) | 0% | 0 pts | −81 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Centre Party (C) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Left Party (V) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Christian Democrats (KD) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green Party (MP) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liberals (L) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Citizens' Coalition (MED) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Party A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38d | Tattered-Ephyra | Moderate Party (M) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,579 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 38d |  Flipadelphia | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,433 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 38d | Flipadelphia3 fills | Moderate Party (M) | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,749 | +$15 +0.1% | 10 |
| 38d | anoin123 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,551 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 39d |  tunatyler | Moderate Party (M) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,431 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | tunatyler | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo>99¢ | $3,330 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Moderate Party (M) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,698 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 40d |  StupidMonkeyyy | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,979 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | pieped | Moderate Party (M) | SellYes100¢ | $1,823 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 40d | Occasionalbettor2 fills | Moderate Party (M) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,225 | +$50 +1.5% | 10 |
| 40d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Moderate Party (M) | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | −$38 −3.1% | — |
| 40d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Moderate Party (M) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$25 +2.0% | 10 |
| 40d | Skithustomten2 fills | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $2,997 | −$2,997 −100% | 14 |
| 40d | Quick-Witted-Appetiser | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 40d | Anka2630 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 41d | pieped | Moderate Party (M) | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$353 +25% | 10 |
| 41d | 1foru2forme | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $2,187 | −$2,187 −100% | 10 |
| 41d | dromedaryy | Moderate Party (M) | BuyYes24¢ → 100¢ | $3,047 | +$9,647 +317% | 16 |
| 41d | dromedaryy | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo23¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$4,300 +335% | 11 |
| 41d |  seal7 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo23¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$4,004 +335% | 11 |
| 41d | Licasamadaul2 fills | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $6,253 | −$6,253 −100% | 14 |
| 41d |  usurper55 | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $2,410 | −$2,410 −100% | 10 |
| 42d | mijony | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $2,144 | −$2,144 −100% | 16 |
| 42d | Addarash6 fills | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $18,448 | −$18,448 −100% | 11 |
| 42d |  FFIE.2 fills | Moderate Party (M) | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $5,984 | −$5,984 −100% | 16 |
| 42d | FFIE. | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,233 | −$1,233 −100% | 16 |
| 43d | suntori | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 14 |
| 44d | Cultivated-Maternity | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $5,700 | −$5,700 −100% | 13 |
| 45d | WarriorH | Moderate Party (M) | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,009 | −$1,009 −100% | 11 |
| 45d | Addarash | Moderate Party (M) | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $4,984 | −$4,984 −100% | 11 |
| 45d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Moderate Party (M) | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | −$1,620 −100% | 11 |
| 46d | maceman | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 11 |
| 50d |  alpha.chen | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $3,939 | −$3,939 −100% | 10 |
| 58d | Hejdejakob | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,117 | +$1,117 +100% | — |
aenews26,427 sharesStupidMonkeyyy1,981 sharesParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Moderate Party (M) means the market gives it about 100%.