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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15–22 | 100% | +4 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Before May 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 23–29 | 0% | −3 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 30–June 5 | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 6–12 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 13–19 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 20–26 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 27–July 3 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| After July 3 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154d | sunny168 | May 15–22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 154d | alexjianwang | May 15–22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 154d |  Gleaming-Pear | May 23–29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,845 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | Gleaming-Pear2 fills | May 15–22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,491 | +$28 +0.4% | 10 |
| 154d |  Lolakis | May 15–22 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$10 +0.8% | 10 |
| 154d | tphhh | June 20–26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 157d |  HorribleWork | June 27–July 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,998 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 158d |  WarriorPooh | May 15–22 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,652 | −$100 −6.1% | — |
| 158d |  ScottyNooo | May 15–22 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,871 | +$119 +6.4% | 10 |
| 158d |  elmcap2 | May 15–22 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,804 | +$222 +7.9% | 10 |
| 158d |  AishahSofey | May 15–22 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$182 +9.9% | 10 |
| 158d |  mombil | May 15–22 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$363 +32% | 10 |
| 160d |  DFK | May 15–22 | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$2,200 −200% | — |
| 161d |  TheAugur | May 15–22 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | −$29 −2.0% | — |
| 161d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | May 30–June 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,319 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 161d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | June 27–July 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,105 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 162d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | Before May 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,711 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 163d | tphhh | After July 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,070 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 163d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | May 15–22 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,399 | +$50 +2.1% | 10 |
| 182d | TheAugur | May 15–22 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$1,640 +100% | 10 |
| 186d | pkz | May 15–22 | SellYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | −$1,716 −93% | — |
AishahSofey3,686 shares
labistiiia3,000 sharesThis market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for May 15–22 means the market gives it about 100%.