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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAY-Z | 39% | — | +5 pts | 37¢ · 40¢ (3¢) | — | in 70d |
| Frank Ocean | 13% | +1 pts | +4 pts | 11¢ · 15¢ (4¢) | — | in 70d |
| Nicki Minaj | 23% | −15 pts | −23 pts | 22¢ · 25¢ (3¢) | $78.2 | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40d | 0xb249…c6fc | Nicki Minaj | BuyNo86¢ → 77¢ | $2,688 | −$286 −11% | 29 |
| 111d | yougotme | Will Beyoncé release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,047 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 111d | Trustinghorse | Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,096 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d |  yen4u | Will SZA release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,122 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d |  KimchiCapital2 fills | Will SZA release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,725 | +$176 +2.6% | 20 |
| 161d | SweetChariot | Will Drake release a new song in 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,485 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | SweetChariot | Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,143 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 209d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will Kanye West release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,659 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 219d | SweetChariot5 fills | Will BTS release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,497 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 236d |  Debosnys | Will Kendrick Lamar release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,188 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 248d |  beenraping | Will Lana Del Rey release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,376 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 248d | Candid-Pate | Will Lana Del Rey release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 248d | Lean-Pelt | Will Lana Del Rey release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 279d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will Charli XCX release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,584 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 279d |  iutwpfal | Will Charli XCX release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,638 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 291d | yougotme | Will A$AP Rocky release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,626 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 291d | SweetChariot2 fills | Will A$AP Rocky release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,495 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 330d |  .jeet | Will Charli XCX release a new song in 2026? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | +$125 +5.3% | 20 |
Haradwaith40 shares
TheClaudeBurglar24 shares
LornaPredicts9 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new song between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 39¢ for JAY-Z means the market gives it about 39%.