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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nvidia | 10% | — | −3 pts | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Boeing | 6% | — | −1 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Samsung Electronics | 4% | −2 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Pfizer | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| TikTok US / Bytedance | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 69d |
| Palantir | 6% | +1 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 9¢ (6¢) | — | in 69d |
| IonQ | 8% | — | −2 pts | 7¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Eli Lilly | 11% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 10¢ · 13¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Lockheed Martin | 10% | — | −2 pts | 8¢ · 11¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Freeport-McMoRan | 8% | — | — | 7¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Micron | 7% | — | −2 pts | 5¢ · 9¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Unusual Machines | 47% | −4 pts | +16 pts | 38¢ · 55¢ (17¢) | — | in 69d |
| TSMC | 13% | −2 pts | −1 pts | 11¢ · 14¢ (3¢) | $364 | in 69d |
| SpaceX | 8% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Anduril | 24% | −1 pts | +7 pts | 21¢ · 26¢ (5¢) | $69.9 | in 69d |
| OpenAI | 14% | +1 pts | +4 pts | 12¢ · 15¢ (3¢) | $64.9 | in 69d |
| Anthropic | 4% | — | −7 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | $16.9 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155d | Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$167 +16% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 10¢ for Nvidia means the market gives it about 10%.