Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Martin | 16% | +2 pts | 0 pts | 10¢ · 21¢ (11¢) | $36.2 | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32d |  RainIess | Max Martin | BuyNo83¢ → 84¢ | $3,769 | +$40 +1.1% | 15 |
| 99d | Somber-Ice | Max Martin | BuyNo63¢ → 84¢ | $1,291 | +$423 +33% | 24 |
| 99d | pretzel | Max Martin | BuyYes49¢ → 16¢ | $3,063 | −$2,070 −68% | 24 |
| 100d |  yen4u | Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,755 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 100d | 2475253 fills | Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,343 | +$92 +1.0% | 4 |
| 100d | thoodr9 fills | Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $17,168 | +$508 +3.0% | 4 |
| 100d | 0x4452…7ae7 | Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | +$19 +1.3% | 4 |
| 100d |  memetal2 fills | Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,002 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 100d |  C6H6 | Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$17 +1.5% | 4 |
| 100d | memetal | Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$16 +1.6% | 4 |
| 100d |  Rex416 | Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,970 | +$105 +1.8% | 4 |
| 100d |  aenews2 | Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,895 | +$596 +21% | 4 |
| 100d | chiyip4112 | Max Martin | SellYes54¢ → 16¢ | $2,488 | +$1,754 +70% | — |
| 101d | Rex4162 fills | Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,121 | +$76 +1.2% | 4 |
| 102d | NeoOracle | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,443 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 102d | C6H6 | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 102d | chiyip4112 | Max Martin | BuyYes89¢ → 16¢ | $4,450 | −$3,655 −82% | 11 |
| 102d | memetal2 fills | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | +$30 +1.5% | 4 |
| 102d | NeoOracle | Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,995 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 102d | looppau | Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,343 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 102d | C6H6 | Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | +$13 +1.1% | 4 |
| 102d |  clazzy1 | Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$55 +3.7% | 4 |
| 102d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,759 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 102d | looppau2 fills | Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,357 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 102d | NeoOracle2 fills | Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 102d | Sarcastic-Minimalism3 fills | Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,326 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 102d |  themagicofcinema | Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$10 +0.9% | 4 |
| 102d | thoodr10 fills | Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,219 | +$303 +1.4% | 4 |
| 102d | Lovable-Vacuum | Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$230 −17% | — |
| 102d | aenews2 | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$140 +11% | 4 |
| 103d | aenews2 | Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$72 +5.7% | 4 |
| 103d |  x.o | Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,867 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d |  ZhangMuZhisDaddy | Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,692 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d | OraculumNobius | Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d | looppau2 fills | Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,392 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d | NeoOracle2 fills | Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d | Sarcastic-Minimalism3 fills | Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,766 | +$39 +0.8% | 4 |
| 103d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,390 | +$44 +1.3% | 4 |
| 103d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$9 +0.9% | 4 |
| 103d | yen4u | Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$68 +4.1% | 4 |
| 103d | 0x8931…a90c | Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,048 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d | Rex416 | Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,714 | +$63 +1.3% | 4 |
| 103d | 0x8931…a90c | Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,959 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d | 0x8931…a90c | Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,563 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$31 +2.1% | 4 |
| 103d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will Kanye West attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,847 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d | Rex416 | Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,418 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 104d | 0x955c…990f | Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$810 +42% | 4 |
| 107d | thoodr2 fills | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,510 | +$367 +6.7% | 4 |
| 108d |  burnburn2 fills | Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,101 | −$159 −7.6% | — |
| 108d |  MrNoItAll | Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,982 | −$18 −0.3% | — |
| 108d | thoodr5 fills | Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $10,487 | +$539 +5.1% | 4 |
| 109d | burnburn2 fills | Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,893 | −$327 −6.7% | — |
| 109d | burnburn | Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | −$130 −6.8% | — |
| 109d |  Idontcry | Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,261 | −$525 −23% | — |
| 109d | Idontcry2 fills | Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,278 | −$148 −3.5% | — |
| 109d | thoodr3 fills | Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $8,492 | +$645 +7.6% | 4 |
| 110d | thoodr2 fills | Max Martin | BuyYes95¢ → 16¢ | $3,604 | −$3,001 −83% | 7 |
| 110d | thoodr2 fills | Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$41 +1.7% | 4 |
| 110d | thoodr | Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,190 | +$31 +1.0% | 4 |
Rex4164,860 sharesRainIess4,529 shares
residual438 sharesThis market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 16¢ for Max Martin means the market gives it about 16%.
