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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Putin | 100% | +1 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kim Jong Un | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jerome Powell | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 100% | +17 pts | +90 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Pope Leo | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 100% | +1 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman | 0% | 0 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 100% | +16 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ahmed Al Shara | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 100% | −1 pts | −8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Narendra Modi | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friedrich Merz | 100% | +83 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 418d |  GayPride | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,030 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d | GayPride | Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,828 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d | GayPride | Ahmed Al Shara | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,660 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d |  scout | Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,372 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d | scout | Yoon Suk Yeol | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,878 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d |  Chims | Xi Jinping | SellNo>99¢ | $1,076 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 418d |  exit-liqudity | Jair Bolsonaro | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,207 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d | cowcat | Jair Bolsonaro | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 418d |  elmcap22 fills | Jerome Powell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,667 | +$89 +1.3% | 4 |
| 419d | scout | Pope Leo | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,160 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 419d | scout | Kim Jong Un | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,965 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 422d |  starship0903 | Narendra Modi | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$69 +6.0% | 4 |
| 425d |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | Xi Jinping | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$69 −6.4% | — |
| 425d | zxdfbdfgngcxv | Xi Jinping | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$69 +6.4% | 4 |
| 425d |  Justitia | Pope Leo | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$25 +2.1% | 4 |
| 434d | skylove | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,669 | +$208 +12% | 4 |
| 435d |  tsybka | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,366 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 435d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,254 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 437d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1622 fills | Keir Starmer | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,708 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 437d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1622 fills | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,805 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 437d |  duderr | Keir Starmer | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,172 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 437d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1622 fills | Emmanuel Macron | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,275 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 440d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,212 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 440d | Justitia | Jair Bolsonaro | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$27 +2.5% | 4 |
| 445d | LBZone | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,030 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 445d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,012 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 446d | nonkenny90 | Jerome Powell | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$196 +15% | 4 |
| 448d |  WongKimArk | Xi Jinping | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$264 +21% | 4 |
WongKimArk1,093 shares
cynical-reason204 shares
Frosen43 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between August 1 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Vladimir Putin means the market gives it about 100%.