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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305d | traffy.hl | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked>99¢ | $2,267 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 305d |  10000Bets | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked>99¢ | $3,138 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | Kevindoto3 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $38,176 | −$745 −2.0% | — |
| 306d |  december | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 306d |  bosshog | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | Eatpraylove2 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked>99¢ | $6,396 | +$19 +0.3% | 4 |
| 306d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked>99¢ | $2,961 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | SplendidAmadeus | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked>99¢ | $4,117 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 306d | Weary-Duplexer | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 307d |  ScottyNooo | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked>99¢ | $3,330 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 307d | ballboy95 | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked>99¢ | $3,964 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 307d |  Nobo3 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked>99¢ | $15,743 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 307d |  ugodda | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked>99¢ | $1,979 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 307d | aviato | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked>99¢ | $5,389 | −$16 −0.3% | — |
| 308d |  JonaMar666 | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked>99¢ | $4,099 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 308d |  yataros | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked>99¢ | $2,019 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 308d |  TeemuPukki2 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked>99¢ | $12,091 | +$39 +0.3% | 4 |
| 308d |  0xdc3E831cad3 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $25,518 | −$411 −1.6% | — |
| 309d |  WordleAddict | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $2,303 | −$24 −1.0% | — |
| 309d | 0x497b…aba5 | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$13 −1.1% | — |
| 309d |  Big.Chungus3 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $8,880 | −$120 −1.4% | — |
| 309d | M888 | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 310d | JustHereWaiting | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $6,253 | −$63 −1.0% | — |
| 310d | traffy.hl | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$11 +0.9% | 4 |
| 310d | Winninghumbly | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 310d | DumbMoney1 | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$26 +1.0% | 4 |
| 310d |  AnnabelleNoirBackend | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $2,746 | −$31 −1.1% | — |
| 310d | 0xdc3E831cad3 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $3,451 | +$68 +2.0% | 4 |
| 311d | oreola | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $2,456 | −$30 −1.2% | — |
| 311d |  GUHHH3 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked95¢ → 100¢ | $5,681 | −$275 −4.8% | — |
| 311d |  aenews2 | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked99¢ → 100¢ | $3,179 | +$34 +1.1% | 4 |
| 312d | Imperfect-Beetle | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $3,276 | +$57 +1.7% | 4 |
| 313d | Secondary-Coevolution2 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $3,982 | +$92 +2.3% | 4 |
| 313d |  TheFantasticFour | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked97¢ → 100¢ | $6,785 | −$193 −2.8% | — |
| 313d | Wsix | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $4,875 | −$125 −2.6% | — |
| 313d | Kevindoto2 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked96¢ → 100¢ | $19,052 | +$764 +4.0% | 4 |
| 314d |  Vespucci | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked97¢ → 100¢ | $5,603 | −$155 −2.8% | — |
| 314d |  studmuffin6969 | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $1,952 | −$48 −2.5% | — |
| 314d | 10000Bets2 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $3,080 | +$61 +2.0% | 4 |
| 315d | AnnabelleNoirBackend | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $2,718 | +$59 +2.2% | 4 |
| 316d |  ImJustKen7 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked95¢ → 100¢ | $50,222 | +$2,709 +5.4% | 4 |
| 316d | Occasionalbettor2 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked93¢ → 100¢ | $3,078 | +$241 +7.8% | 4 |
| 316d | safubets2 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $5,566 | −$141 −2.5% | — |
| 316d | aviato | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked98¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$40 +2.6% | 4 |
| 317d | SplendidAmadeus | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked95¢ → 100¢ | $3,929 | +$200 +5.1% | 4 |
| 318d | 854A78432 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked89¢ → 100¢ | $2,987 | −$377 −13% | — |
| 319d | Randomfool2 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked95¢ → 100¢ | $5,664 | +$280 +4.9% | 4 |
| 319d | safubets | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked96¢ → 100¢ | $3,503 | +$146 +4.2% | 4 |
| 322d | ballboy952 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked89¢ → 100¢ | $2,663 | +$337 +13% | 4 |
| 322d | Wsix | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked94¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$300 +6.4% | 4 |
| 324d | JustHereWaiting2 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked87¢ → 100¢ | $3,104 | +$464 +15% | 4 |
| 326d |  New.Jeans2 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked85¢ → 100¢ | $5,884 | +$1,008 +17% | 4 |
| 327d |  Jellow2 | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | SellWicked83¢ → 100¢ | $2,158 | −$442 −20% | — |
| 333d |  Pump | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyAvatar23¢ → 0¢ | $1,255 | −$1,255 −100% | 5 |
| 334d | 854A78434 fills | Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | BuyWicked90¢ → 100¢ | $10,509 | +$1,148 +11% | 4 |
ienjoymoviesgt10,036 sharesThis market will resolve to "Wicked" if “Wicked: For Good” (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend compared to "Avatar: Fire and Ash" (2025). This market will resolve to "Avatar" if “Avatar: Fire and Ash” (2025) will gross at least as much on its opening weekend compared to "Wicked: For Good" (2025). The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on The Numbers “Box Office” tab for "Wicked: For Good" (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)#tab=summary) and “Avatar: Fire and Ash” (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-Fire-and-Ash-(2025)#tab=summary) will be used once the values for each film's 3-day opening weekend (November 21-23/December 19-21) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). Please note that this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether 'domestic' refers to only the USA, or to the USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by December 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.