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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323d |  aenews22 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $41,937 | +$944 +2.3% | 4 |
| 324d |  TealV2 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $19,179 | −$321 −1.7% | — |
| 324d |  TeemuPukki | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,972 | +$40 +0.4% | 4 |
| 324d | Dodor3 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,795 | +$169 +2.9% | 4 |
| 326d |  ciro23 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $44,890 | −$577 −1.3% | — |
| 327d | ChampaLiberation2 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,553 | +$49 +0.9% | 4 |
| 330d | wubddh2 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $43,864 | +$1,076 +2.5% | 4 |
| 330d | mep7 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $68,803 | +$4,628 +6.7% | 4 |
| 332d | InsiderrrZ5 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $19,283 | +$772 +4.0% | 4 |
| 339d |  cambridgeisaac | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,636 | −$244 −2.8% | — |
| 339d | singularityman | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,245 | −$71 −2.2% | — |
| 339d | lineth2 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $5,808 | −$695 −12% | — |
| 340d | TealV4 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $12,155 | +$687 +5.6% | 4 |
| 341d | NoN | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyNo6¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 341d | slappy99 | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyNo4¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | −$1,003 −100% | 4 |
| 341d |  MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$34 −3.2% | — |
| 342d | operationcastle2 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $30,669 | +$1,554 +5.1% | 4 |
| 342d | ciro28 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $64,375 | +$6,482 +10% | 4 |
| 342d | kcnyekchno7 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $165,912 | +$11,384 +6.9% | 4 |
| 343d |  EscapeVelocity | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | +$70 +3.6% | 4 |
| 343d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$62 +3.2% | 4 |
| 343d | MagicUser4 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $44,945 | +$3,018 +6.7% | 4 |
| 343d | Eatpraylove5 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $19,186 | +$1,097 +5.7% | 4 |
| 344d | singularityman | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$138 +8.9% | 4 |
| 344d | 0x3dA304b247F16E6 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $25,124 | −$25,124 −100% | 4 |
| 344d | kcnyekchno | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $37,973 | −$2,424 −6.4% | — |
| 345d | dzsibenaja | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,003 | +$297 +9.9% | 4 |
| 345d | TeemuPukki | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,351 | −$283 −12% | — |
| 346d |  Armenia | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,022 | +$200 +9.9% | 4 |
| 346d |  Snoopyfan | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$165 +12% | 4 |
| 346d |  FridayNight | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | +$275 +12% | 4 |
| 348d | romanticpaul2 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $7,460 | +$1,017 +14% | 4 |
| 350d | patient. | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,784 | −$443 −16% | — |
| 350d | patient.2 fills | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$283 +11% | 4 |
| 350d | aprosx | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,193 | +$577 +11% | 4 |
| 350d |  0xdc3E831cad | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | SellNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | +$1,002 +100% | — |
| 351d | 0xdc3E831cad | Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $3,166 | −$3,166 −100% | 4 |
popolupo1,265 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Mikie Sherrill in the 2025 New Jersey Governor Election is greater than 14%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Sherrill’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. This market will resolve based on the official certified statewide results as published by the New Jersey Division of Elections (New Jersey Department of State). If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.