Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · Politics
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 8% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 12¢ (8¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | zxc368 | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,183 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d | M888 | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,165 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 218d |  matematemate | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,610 | +$51 +3.1% | 4 |
| 226d | simpleman2 fills | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,732 | −$81 −3.0% | — |
| 230d | simpleman | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$55 +2.2% | 4 |
| 232d | aviato | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$42 +4.2% | 4 |
| 296d |  Flipadelphia | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,294 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 308d |  JJo | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,629 | +$12 +0.7% | 4 |
| 309d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,417 | −$30 −0.5% | — |
| 309d |  twe2nty | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,358 | +$13 +0.3% | 4 |
| 337d | jeffhardy | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,353 | −$156 −4.7% | — |
| 337d |  scottilicious4 fills | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,390 | −$336 −1.7% | — |
| 337d |  studmuffin6969 | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,479 | −$21 −0.9% | — |
| 347d | ganatalak | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | −$22 −1.4% | — |
| 349d | flagrant2 | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 4 |
| 349d | ScottyNooo4 fills | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $11,322 | +$810 +7.2% | 4 |
| 350d | scottilicious | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $21,073 | +$1,173 +5.6% | 4 |
| 350d |  tunatyler | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | −$250 −11% | — |
| 351d | aviato | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | +$117 +7.5% | 4 |
| 351d |  Yoriichi77 | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,740 | −$1,740 −100% | 8 |
| 351d | jeffhardy | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$122 +6.1% | 4 |
| 386d | nonkenny90 | Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by October 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,661 | +$111 +4.2% | 4 |
OverlookHotel783 shares
nicoco8990 shares
SaucePolly127 shares
Belgaron126 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 8¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 8%.