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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 43% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 29¢ · 57¢ (28¢) | — | in 69d |
| October 31 | 5% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 2¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 8d |
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LornaPredicts84 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 43¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 43%.