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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22 | 0% | −1 pts | −74 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 2 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 15 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 5 | 100% | +15 pts | +75 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| June 13 | 100% | +11 pts | +45 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | +10 pts | +33 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | June 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,619 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 147d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b044 fills | May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,455 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 147d | Cbarbhwux | May 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,559 | −$15 −0.6% | — |
| 154d | KiernanMeister | May 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,807 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 154d |  LeopoldArschenbrenner | May 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,126 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 154d |  finder16 | May 22 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 155d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | May 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,242 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 155d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | May 22 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
| 155d |  TheAugur | May 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,198 | +$233 +4.5% | 10 |
| 155d |  Iax | May 22 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | −$26 −2.0% | — |
| 155d | pkz | May 22 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,741 | +$54 +3.1% | 10 |
| 155d | wl-0056 fills | May 22 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $18,111 | +$589 +3.3% | 10 |
| 155d | Cbarbhwux | May 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | +$167 +12% | 10 |
| 155d |  WarriorPooh2 fills | May 22 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,365 | +$368 +11% | 10 |
| 155d | WarriorPooh | May 31 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,283 | +$783 +24% | 10 |
labistiiia3,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for May 22 means the market gives it about 0%.