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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 9% | — | — | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| October 31 | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | theitaliangoats | December 31 | SellNo91¢ → 92¢ | $1,201 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 13d | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 92¢ | $5,754 | +$142 +2.5% | 20 | |
| 18d | emp992 | December 31 | SellNo88¢ → 92¢ | $1,680 | −$60 −3.5% | — |
| 19d | October 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $3,097 | +$65 +2.1% | 20 | |
| 21d | dwarf123 | December 31 | SellNo88¢ → 92¢ | $5,071 | −$193 −3.8% | — |
| 23d | emp992 | October 31 | SellNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,007 | −$47 −4.6% | — |
| 31d | December 31 | SellNo89¢ → 92¢ | $1,479 | −$42 −2.8% | — | |
| 32d | dwarf123 | October 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 99¢ | $1,400 | +$97 +6.9% | 20 |
| 32d | dwarf123 | December 31 | BuyNo87¢ → 92¢ | $5,000 | +$264 +5.3% | 20 |
| 34d | December 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 92¢ | $3,930 | +$325 +8.3% | 20 | |
| 34d | October 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 99¢ | $2,087 | +$203 +9.8% | 20 | |
| 35d | October 31 | BuyNo87¢ → 99¢ | $1,280 | +$182 +14% | 20 | |
| 209d | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,488 | +$25 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 212d | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,146 | +$33 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 232d | alwaysOn2 fills | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,170 | +$206 +4.0% | 20 |
| 258d | Kevindoto | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,953 | −$182 −6.1% | — |
| 260d | NKIT | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | −$50 −4.6% | — |
| 261d | Kevindoto | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,009 | +$160 +5.3% | 20 |
| 261d | tahmkenchbaby | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,333 | −$298 −5.6% | — |
| 263d | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,914 | +$213 +11% | 20 | |
| 271d | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | −$269 −14% | — | |
| 273d | Bucelex | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$151 −15% | — |
| 282d | vovatoxic | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$320 +16% | 20 |
| 284d | tahmkenchbaby | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$631 +13% | 20 |
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 9%.