| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 973 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $924 | +$4 +0.4% |
| Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 928 | 86¢ → 79¢ | $729 | −$71 −8.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 554 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $512 | −$18 −3.4% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 520 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $491 | −$9 −1.8% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 507 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $436 | +$16 +3.8% |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 430 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $406 | −$4 −0.9% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 375 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $357 | −$3 −0.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 551 | 91¢ → 59¢ | $325 | −$175 −35% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 232 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $214 | −$6 −2.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $206 | −$4 −1.8% |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 216 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $198 | −$2 −1.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 222 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $192 | −$8 −3.9% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 156 | 90¢ → 70¢ | $109 | −$31 −22% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 108 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $106 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 117 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $104 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 108 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $104 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 106 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $102 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 103 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $100 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 109 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $99 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 103 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $99 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 105 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $99 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 102 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $99 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 110 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $98 | −$2 −1.8% |
| Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 102 | 98¢ → 94¢ | $96 | −$4 −4.2% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 111 | 90¢ → 86¢ | $95 | −$5 −5.0% |
| Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 104 | 96¢ → 92¢ | $95 | −$5 −5.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 105 | 96¢ → 87¢ | $91 | −$9 −9.1% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 115 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $90 | +$10 +13% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 83 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $80 | +$0 +0.4% |
| New pandemic before 2028?Ends in 434d | No | 79 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | Yes | 71 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $69 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 82 | 97¢ → 80¢ | $66 | −$14 −18% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 63 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $61 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 61 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $56 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 58 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $55 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 56 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $52 | +$2 +3.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $51 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 59 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $51 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 53 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 52 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 53 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 52 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 53 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 51 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 51 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 52 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $50 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 52 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 51 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 51 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 51 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 51 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 52 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 51 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 51 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 51 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $50 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 65 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 53 | 94¢ → 87¢ | $46 | −$4 −7.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 63 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $45 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 47 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $45 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 48 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $45 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | No | 46 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $45 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 53 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $45 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 41 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $40 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 41 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $40 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 36 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $35 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 36 | 97¢ → 93¢ | $34 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 31 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $31 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 32 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 30 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 31 | 98¢ → 95¢ | $29 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 34 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $29 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 31 | 97¢ → 94¢ | $29 | −$1 −3.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 55 | 73¢ → 52¢ | $28 | −$12 −30% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $25 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 21 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 20 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.4% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Houthis target Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 21 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 22 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 799d | No | 22 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Vox win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 21 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $19 | −$1 −2.6% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 24 | 84¢ → 71¢ | $17 | −$3 −16% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Panama Canal effectively closed by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 12 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 13 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 13 | 78¢ → 75¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 95¢ → 91¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $9 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 99¢ → 68¢ | $7 | −$3 −32% |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.4% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.6% |
