| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 8,079 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $6,261 | −$638 −9.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 2,800 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $2,394 | +$70 +3.0% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 46d | Yes | 2,000 | 24¢ → 98¢ | $1,955 | +$1,478 +310% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,600 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $1,464 | +$84 +6.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 1,610 | 46¢ → 90¢ | $1,452 | +$718 +98% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,500 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $1,373 | +$132 +11% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 1,671 | 88¢ → 80¢ | $1,330 | −$138 −9.4% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,355 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $1,270 | +$73 +6.1% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,550 | 73¢ → 60¢ | $930 | −$195 −17% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,033 | 60¢ → 77¢ | $792 | +$172 +28% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 100,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $750 | +$25 +3.5% |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,360 | 48¢ → 54¢ | $734 | +$80 +12% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | Yes | 772 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $716 | +$35 +5.1% |
| Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 845 | 74¢ → 84¢ | $710 | +$82 +13% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 749 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $685 | +$57 +9.0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 4,036 | 9¢ → 16¢ | $662 | +$313 +90% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 71d | Yes | 775 | 37¢ → 84¢ | $647 | +$357 +123% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 7d | No | 700 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $508 | +$37 +7.9% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 609 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $482 | +$79 +19% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 9,106 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $451 | +$63 +16% |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,550 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $434 | +$113 +35% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 520 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $419 | +$12 +3.0% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | Yes | 500 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $405 | +$24 +6.4% |
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 400 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $388 | +$6 +1.5% |
| Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?Ends in 223d | Yes | 401 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $383 | +$13 +3.4% |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 396 | 65¢ → 95¢ | $374 | +$118 +46% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 400 | 40¢ → 89¢ | $354 | +$193 +120% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 10d | Yes | 380 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $329 | +$14 +4.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,588 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $310 | −$51 −14% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 1,371 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $308 | −$38 −11% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,240 | 32¢ → 25¢ | $304 | −$99 −25% |
| Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 420 | 89¢ → 70¢ | $294 | −$79 −21% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?Ends in 71d | Yes | 300 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $287 | +$48 +20% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 162d | Yes | 11,665 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $286 | +$60 +27% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 13,336 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $280 | +$142 +103% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 310 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $268 | +$58 +28% |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 428 | 80¢ → 62¢ | $267 | −$75 −22% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,140 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $251 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 14d | Yes | 264 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $246 | +$9 +4.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 1,705 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $245 | +$10 +4.4% |
| Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 406 | 85¢ → 58¢ | $235 | −$111 −32% |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Ends in 253d | No | 240 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $233 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?Ends in 71d | No | 550 | 17¢ → 40¢ | $220 | +$125 +132% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 240 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $210 | +$3 +1.4% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 236 | 51¢ → 88¢ | $207 | +$86 +71% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 39d | No | 300 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $192 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 72d | Yes | 250 | 47¢ → 73¢ | $182 | +$65 +55% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 215 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $181 | −$8 −4.1% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 185 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $180 | +$17 +10% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?Ends in 71d | No | 223 | 66¢ → 78¢ | $174 | +$26 +18% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 8d | Yes | 200 | 62¢ → 86¢ | $171 | +$47 +38% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 980 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $155 | +$24 +18% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 150 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $149 | +$6 +3.9% |
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 437d | Yes | 260 | 61¢ → 57¢ | $148 | −$11 −7.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 10d | Yes | 180 | 66¢ → 82¢ | $147 | +$27 +23% |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 71d | Yes | 270 | 51¢ → 54¢ | $144 | +$8 +5.6% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Ends in 437d | Yes | 284 | 58¢ → 47¢ | $134 | −$31 −19% |
| Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 132 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $126 | +$4 +3.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 8d | Yes | 850 | 26¢ → 14¢ | $115 | −$106 −48% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 26d | Yes | 200 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $113 | −$5 −4.2% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM?Ends in 15d | Yes | 130 | 76¢ → 87¢ | $112 | +$14 +15% |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 700 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $112 | −$7 −6.0% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | Yes | 150 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $112 | −$4 −3.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 104 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $103 | +$22 +27% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 493 | 12¢ → 20¢ | $101 | +$41 +68% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 550 | 28¢ → 18¢ | $99 | −$57 −37% |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 253d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 2,880 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $94 | +$31 +49% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 100 | 66¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$24 +36% |
| Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 400 | 54¢ → 22¢ | $86 | −$131 −60% |
| Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Ends in 803d | Yes | 519 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $86 | +$9 +12% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 538 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $75 | +$9 +14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 205 | 46¢ → 36¢ | $73 | −$22 −23% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $71 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 71d | Yes | 306 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $67 | +$3 +4.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Ends in 803d | Yes | 390 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $66 | +$7 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 14d | Yes | 100 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $64 | −$2 −2.3% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 85 | 46¢ → 73¢ | $61 | +$23 +59% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 4,107 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $60 | −$4 −5.8% |
| Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 71d | Yes | 740 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $59 | −$59 −50% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 1,021 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $57 | +$7 +13% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 400 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $56 | −$16 −22% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 72d | Yes | 250 | 41¢ → 20¢ | $49 | −$54 −52% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$4 +8.3% |
| Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 50 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $48 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 400 | 45¢ → 12¢ | $46 | −$132 −74% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 11d | No | 42 | 69¢ → >99¢ | $42 | +$13 +44% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 3d | Yes | 250 | 68¢ → 16¢ | $40 | −$130 −76% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Ends in 803d | Yes | 143 | 10¢ → 26¢ | $37 | +$23 +168% |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 568 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $37 | −$30 −45% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?Ends in 437d | Yes | 135 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $36 | −$2 −6.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 50 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $35 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 210 | 68¢ → 16¢ | $34 | −$110 −77% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Ends in 803d | Yes | 163 | 9¢ → 21¢ | $33 | +$19 +132% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 14d | No | 181 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $33 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?Ends in 71d | Yes | 32 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $31 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 20,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $30 | +$10 +50% |
| Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 39 | 65¢ → 73¢ | $29 | +$3 +12% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 40 | 45¢ → 72¢ | $29 | +$11 +62% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $26 | −$2 −5.6% |
