tongoG

Polymarket wallet 0x045e93a4847c213ae0a940821f168aab2c3191b8 · on Polymarket since Sep 11, 2025 · also shown as Clumsy-Starboard

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $3.59K
All-time profit: −$3
Volume traded: $24.7K
All-time rank: #1,499,885
Markets traded: 51
Recent hit rate: 67%20 of last 30 closed

Open positions

24 markets · $3.59K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d	No	600	96¢ → 95¢	$572	−$2 −0.4%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	401	95¢ → 94¢	$377	−$6 −1.5%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d	Yes	400	63¢ → 68¢	$270	+$18 +7.1%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d	No	300	74¢ → 75¢	$224	+$2 +0.7%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	300	74¢ → 75¢	$224	+$2 +0.7%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d	Yes	300	71¢ → 70¢	$209	−$5 −2.1%
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 159d	Yes	250	79¢ → 77¢	$191	−$7 −3.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d	No	200	94¢ → 95¢	$189	+$1 +0.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d	No	200	84¢ → 83¢	$165	−$3 −1.8%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d	No	196	80¢ → 81¢	$158	+$1 +0.6%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d	No	200	64¢ → 68¢	$135	+$7 +5.5%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d	Yes	150	87¢ → 86¢	$129	−$2 −1.1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	400	73¢ → 31¢	$125	−$165 −57%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d	No	320	34¢ → 34¢	$109	$0 0.0%
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d	Yes	336	36¢ → 32¢	$107	−$13 −11%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	100	96¢ → 97¢	$97	+$1 +0.9%
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	No	150	66¢ → 64¢	$95	−$4 −3.8%
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d	No	100	78¢ → 81¢	$81	+$3 +3.8%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d	No	99	73¢ → 72¢	$70	−$1 −2.1%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	50	67¢ → 87¢	$43	+$10 +29%
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d	No	15	80¢ → 81¢	$12	+$0 +0.6%
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?Ends in 68d	Yes	62	12¢ → 13¢	$8	+$0 +4.2%
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	100	7¢ → 5¢	$5	−$3 −36%
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	118	85¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
8h	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	BuyYes87¢	$125
9h	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo66¢	$99
11h	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	BuyYes87¢	$5
12h	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BuyNo96¢	$191
17h	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	SellNo66¢	$26
17h	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	SellNo66¢	$33
17h	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	SellNo66¢	$33
17h	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	SellNo66¢	$7
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$12
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	BuyNo100¢	$23
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	BuyNo100¢	$61
1d	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	SellNo77¢	$40
1d	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	SellNo77¢	$13
1d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes95¢	$189
1d	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	BuyYes36¢	$109
1d	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?	BuyYes12¢	$7
1d	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BuyYes4¢	$9
1d	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	BuyNo80¢	$12
1d	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BuyNo96¢	$117
1d	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BuyNo96¢	$75
1d	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	BuyNo66¢	$99
1d	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?	BuyYes12¢	$0
1d	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	SellYes99¢	$33
1d	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	BuyNo34¢	$40
1d	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	BuyNo80¢	$157
1d	Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	BuyYes79¢	$198
1d	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	BuyNo76¢	$21
1d	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	BuyYes32¢	$12
1d	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	BuyNo76¢	$21
1d	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	BuyNo76¢	$10
1d	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	BuyNo34¢	$69
1d	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	BuyNo74¢	$207
1d	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	BuyNo74¢	$15
2d	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	SellYes99¢	$66
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes96¢	$192
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes70¢	$70
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes71¢	$71
2d	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes71¢	$55
2d	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes71¢	$158
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes74¢	$74
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes75¢	$75
2d	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes74¢	$222
2d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	SellNo98¢	$197
2d	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BuyYes63¢	$252
3d	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	SellYes38¢	$133
3d	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	SellYes24¢	$84
3d	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	SellYes24¢	$48
3d	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	SellYes24¢	$48
3d	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	SellNo74¢	$111
3d	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	SellNo74¢	$152
3d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	SellYes83¢	$56
3d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	SellYes83¢	$27
3d	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	SellYes24¢	$7
3d	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	SellYes24¢	$6
3d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes96¢	$1
3d	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	BuyNo73¢	$105
3d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$85
3d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	SellYes69¢	$9
3d	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	BuyYes37¢	$18
3d	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	BuyYes37¢	$56

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 30 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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