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Polymarket wallet 0x10efd5de4549b1d46d0009b6600d6081f91392dd · on Polymarket since Oct 22, 2024 · also shown as Cautious-Watcher
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +45% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +138% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 25 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.