| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 8,598 | 67¢ → 90¢ | $7,695 | +$1,913 +33% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 5,376 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $5,341 | +$546 +11% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,737 | 79¢ → 76¢ | $3,612 | −$152 −4.0% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 17,445 | 10¢ → 16¢ | $2,791 | +$1,101 +65% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,178 | 66¢ → 84¢ | $2,670 | +$585 +28% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,849 | 49¢ → 81¢ | $2,309 | +$907 +65% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 2,249 | 80¢ → >99¢ | $2,239 | +$436 +24% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 2,027 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $1,972 | +$248 +14% |
| Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,680 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $1,655 | +$125 +8.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 1,769 | 65¢ → 94¢ | $1,654 | +$503 +44% |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 28, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 1,592 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $1,582 | +$331 +26% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,628 | 64¢ → 90¢ | $1,457 | +$410 +39% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 1,816 | 58¢ → 73¢ | $1,321 | +$273 +26% |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,369 | 48¢ → 94¢ | $1,286 | +$623 +94% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 5h | No | 1,172 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $1,166 | +$242 +26% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,291 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $1,123 | +$50 +4.7% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 1,082 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,035 | +$61 +6.3% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,027 | 50¢ → 98¢ | $1,002 | +$489 +95% |
| Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 2d | No | 977 | 80¢ → >99¢ | $975 | +$198 +25% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,668 | 86¢ → 57¢ | $959 | −$471 −33% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 1,288 | 58¢ → 63¢ | $811 | +$67 +9.0% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 1,003 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $768 | −$70 −8.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,836 | 14¢ → 26¢ | $723 | +$315 +77% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,045 | 33¢ → 65¢ | $674 | +$326 +94% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 569 | 13¢ → 96¢ | $545 | +$470 +621% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | No | 592 | 66¢ → 81¢ | $481 | +$89 +23% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 485 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $479 | +$42 +9.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | No | 621 | 54¢ → 76¢ | $472 | +$134 +40% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 580 | 56¢ → 81¢ | $467 | +$140 +43% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 513 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $442 | +$31 +7.6% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 780 | 40¢ → 56¢ | $434 | +$121 +38% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,399 | 91¢ → 31¢ | $431 | −$842 −66% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 418 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $397 | +$24 +6.4% |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 400 | 13¢ → 96¢ | $385 | +$332 +625% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 662 | 73¢ → 57¢ | $381 | −$102 −21% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 633 | 63¢ → 49¢ | $310 | −$89 −22% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 650 | 36¢ → 48¢ | $309 | +$72 +30% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 934 | 31¢ → 33¢ | $304 | +$14 +4.8% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 2d | No | 300 | 48¢ → >99¢ | $299 | +$155 +108% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 401 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $299 | +$22 +8.0% |
| Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 294 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $294 | +$41 +16% |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,153 | 5¢ → 13¢ | $270 | +$169 +166% |
| Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 262 | 64¢ → >99¢ | $261 | +$92 +55% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 286 | 71¢ → 90¢ | $258 | +$54 +27% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 295 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $243 | +$16 +7.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 309 | 51¢ → 75¢ | $231 | +$74 +47% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 287 | 44¢ → 79¢ | $225 | +$99 +79% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 330 | 86¢ → 66¢ | $216 | −$68 −24% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 440 | 35¢ → 48¢ | $211 | +$56 +36% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 184 | 67¢ → 88¢ | $161 | +$38 +30% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 180 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $158 | −$5 −2.8% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 314 | 27¢ → 50¢ | $156 | +$73 +86% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 182 | 42¢ → 83¢ | $150 | +$74 +97% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 178 | 67¢ → 83¢ | $147 | +$28 +23% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 163 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $130 | −$4 −3.2% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 575T and 625T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 2d | No | 129 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $129 | +$17 +15% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 64¢ | $127 | +$61 +93% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 594 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $122 | −$17 −12% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 139 | 64¢ → 86¢ | $120 | +$31 +35% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | Yes | 557 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $117 | −$39 −25% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 125 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $114 | +$26 +29% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | Yes | 601 | 30¢ → 19¢ | $113 | −$69 −38% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 322 | 19¢ → 35¢ | $113 | +$52 +84% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | No | 120 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $103 | +$20 +24% |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$10 +11% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 172 | 58¢ → 57¢ | $99 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 1,107 | 24¢ → 9¢ | $97 | −$168 −63% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.50 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 103 | 71¢ → 88¢ | $90 | +$17 +24% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 116 | 63¢ → 74¢ | $85 | +$12 +17% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 86 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $85 | +$11 +14% |
| Will Aileen Cannon be the next Supreme Court nominee?Ends in 819d | No | 101 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $82 | +$2 +3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 232 | 34¢ → 34¢ | $79 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 109 | 58¢ → 71¢ | $77 | +$14 +22% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 120 | 46¢ → 65¢ | $77 | +$22 +40% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 91 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $75 | +$7 +9.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 573 | 7¢ → 13¢ | $74 | +$34 +86% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 867 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $74 | −$55 −43% |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 69 | 68¢ → 100¢ | $69 | +$22 +46% |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 208 | 35¢ → 30¢ | $62 | −$10 −14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 70 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $58 | +$4 +6.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 62 | 74¢ → 92¢ | $57 | +$11 +24% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 146 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $55 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 71 | 63¢ → 78¢ | $55 | +$10 +23% |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 56 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $52 | +$10 +25% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 111 | 28¢ → 44¢ | $48 | +$17 +55% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 61 | 53¢ → 78¢ | $47 | +$15 +46% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 195 | 16¢ → 22¢ | $43 | +$12 +38% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 72 | 57¢ → 57¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 144 | 19¢ → 28¢ | $41 | +$13 +49% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 249 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $36 | +$10 +39% |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 52 | 6¢ → 69¢ | $36 | +$33 +1036% |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 80 | 54¢ → 44¢ | $35 | −$8 −19% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $34 | −$35 −51% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,276 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $34 | −$93 −73% |
| Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,240 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $27 | +$22 +445% |
| Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 187 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $26 | +$7 +40% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 78 | 54¢ → 33¢ | $25 | −$17 −40% |
| Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Ends in 99d | Yes | 65 | 71¢ → 36¢ | $23 | −$23 −49% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 31 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $23 | +$2 +8.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 23 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $23 | +$1 +3.6% |
