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Polymarket wallet 0x194ca06990c75220d3c33776ba008c61ccbd1315 · on Polymarket since Jul 24, 2026 · also shown as Dear-Hate
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 245 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $10 | −$16 −61% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 160 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$9 −54% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$5 −50% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$2 −45% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 40 | 70¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$27 −97% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89d | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BuyYes70¢ | $4 |
| 89d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes70¢ | $28 |
| 91d | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BuyYes9¢ | $4 |
| 91d | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $16 |
| 91d | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 91d | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $26 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.