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Polymarket wallet 0x196989776c3652c6f4981a71949e42f6477914ea · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2024 · also shown as Smug-Concrete
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 62¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$4 +61% |
| Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 133 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US forces in Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Trump approval >40% on July 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 487d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyYes26¢ | $9 |
| 487d | Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June? | BuyYes1¢ | $3 |
| 487d | US x Iran ceasefire before August? | BuyNo62¢ | $6 |
| 487d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyNo8¢ | $0 |
| 487d | Will Al Ain beat Manchester City? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 487d | Will Manchester City vs. Al Ain end in a draw? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 487d | US forces in Iran before August? | BuyYes12¢ | $9 |
| 487d | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Trump approval >40% on July 1? | BuyNo4¢ | $2 |
| 487d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyNo8¢ | $1 |
| 487d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyNo8¢ | $0 |
| 487d | Israel strike on Iran on June 22? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.