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Polymarket wallet 0x1a51aaa273d2ee04f6e309e85f86b583d0b926a6 · on Polymarket since Nov 4, 2024 · also shown as Honest-Barometer

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$92
Volume traded: $23.9K
All-time rank: #2,595,402
Markets traded: 69
Recent hit rate: 100%50 of last 50 closed

Open positions

1 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	206	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$101 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
61d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August?	BuyNo>99¢	$100
61d	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$10
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$61
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$2
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$3
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$4
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$4
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$4
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$5
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$14
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$4
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$1
70d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown49¢	$0
99d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyNo>99¢	$110
130d	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
153d	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
153d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	BuyNo>99¢	$29
153d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	BuyNo>99¢	$80
243d	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?	BuyNo>99¢	$2
243d	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?	BuyNo>99¢	$2
243d	Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	BuyNo>99¢	$100
275d	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
275d	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?	BuyNo>99¢	$106
275d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyNo>99¢	$2
275d	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
320d	Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$25
320d	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?	BuyNo>99¢	$5
320d	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?	BuyNo>99¢	$5
320d	Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$3
320d	Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$15
320d	Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
342d	Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?	BuyNo98¢	$1
342d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BuyNo100¢	$3
342d	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?	BuyNo99¢	$1
342d	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	BuyNo>99¢	$40
342d	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?	BuyNo>99¢	$2
342d	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?	BuyNo>99¢	$50
381d	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
381d	Will Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
381d	Will Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
381d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	BuyNo>99¢	$33
381d	Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?	BuyNo>99¢	$50
381d	Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?	BuyNo99¢	$10
412d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BuyNo>99¢	$11
412d	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?	BuyNo98¢	$6
412d	Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?	BuyNo99¢	$2
412d	Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?	BuyNo>99¢	$13
438d	Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?	BuyNo>99¢	$55
438d	Will Opensea launch a token by September 30?	BuyNo94¢	$1
438d	Base airdrop in Q3 2025?	BuyNo97¢	$1
438d	Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 8–August 15?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
438d	Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?	BuyNo>99¢	$15
466d	Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$3
466d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?	BuyNo100¢	$27
466d	Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?	BuyNo99¢	$5
506d	Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?	BuyNo>99¢	$15
506d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?	BuyNo99¢	$12
516d	Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
516d	Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?	BuyNo>99¢	$104
567d	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	BuyNo96¢	$2

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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