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Polymarket wallet 0x1ab84cb4c4e86a75ab79b4d3f1136f1c4dc74e6d · on Polymarket since Feb 20, 2025 · also shown as Juvenile-Raisin
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 26 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 113 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 154 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.