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Polymarket wallet 0x22e54a0dcb97a5162ce0e12db861829578d8b78b · on Polymarket since Mar 19, 2026 · also shown as Informal-Effector
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 62¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +61% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 39¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$2 +156% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 4 | 44¢ → 84¢ | $3 | +$2 +90% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 5 | 59¢ → 29¢ | $1 | −$1 −51% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69d | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BuyYes39¢ | $2 |
| 81d | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BuyNo62¢ | $3 |
| 85d | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $2 |
| 93d | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyNo59¢ | $3 |
| 102d | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes41¢ | $2 |
| 120d | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BuyYes50¢ | $2 |
| 141d | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | BuyNo77¢ | $2 |
| 145d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2? | BuyNo61¢ | $2 |
| 152d | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BuyYes37¢ | $2 |
| 163d | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BuyYes40¢ | $2 |
| 170d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes44¢ | $2 |
| 184d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BuyYes51¢ | $3 |
| 194d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BuyNo52¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.