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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good day | 100% | +22 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +18 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Good Afternoon | 0% | −13 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dissent | 0% | −30 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −11 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Productivity | 100% | +16 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 20+ times | 100% | +36 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bet / Betting | 100% | +66 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Projection | 0% | −40 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ times | 0% | −17 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Task Force 20+ times | 0% | −28 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Balance Sheet | 100% | +15 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Restrictive | 100% | +37 pts | +34 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Innovation | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Consumer Confidence | 0% | −10 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −19 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Progress | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| President | 0% | −42 pts | −43 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Spending | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 44¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | −8 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shock | 100% | +48 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Recession | 0% | −17 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pandemic | 100% | +82 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Independence | 0% | −42 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oil | 0% | −76 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax | 0% | −21 pts | −14 pts | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Renovation | 0% | −6 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Predecessor | 100% | +73 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Central Bank | 100% | +16 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Uncertainty | 100% | +30 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Anchor / Anchored | 0% | — | −14 pts | — · 42¢ | — | ended |
| Dollar | 100% | +67 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Echo of History | 0% | +4 pts | −3 pts | — · 91¢ | — | ended |
| North Star | 100% | +69 pts | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Groupthink / Group think | 0% | −24 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Holding | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86d |  Bertapotamous | Bet / Betting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$19 +1.1% | 20 |
| 86d | Leo007 | Good day | SellYes>99¢ | $1,801 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 86d |  0x7b9364a44EE7593250364177 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,266 | +$33 +1.0% | 20 |
| 86d |  BipBop | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,885 | +$297 +10% | 23 |
| 86d |  macrosteaks | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$155 +15% | 24 |
| 86d |  DOJ | Productivity | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$121 +11% | 23 |
| 86d | .brain. | Good day | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$501 +33% | 28 |
| 87d | Gaditima | Productivity | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,693 | +$307 +18% | 24 |
| 87d | Gaditima | Good Afternoon | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$410 +28% | 26 |
| 87d | lorry3122 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$493 +33% | 24 |
| 87d |  DerDon | Innovation | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$798 +47% | 25 |
SusanWarrenHR250 sharesKevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Good day means the market gives it about 100%.