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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enrichment of Uranium | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unfreeze Iranian Assets | 0% | −2 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oil Sanction Relief | 0% | −2 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145d | 24859234897234 | Oil Sanction Relief | SellNo>99¢ | $1,012 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d |  AmirsadeghSa | Oil Sanction Relief | SellNo>99¢ | $1,469 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Overdue-Map | Oil Sanction Relief | SellNo>99¢ | $1,538 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d |  Babymunk | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | SellNo>99¢ | $6,590 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | cccyun | Enrichment of Uranium | SellNo>99¢ | $3,243 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 145d |  RealWigger | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | SellNo>99¢ | $1,401 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 145d | Dafu07159 fills | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $93,549 | −$3,909 −4.2% | — |
| 145d | Informal-Budget | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,049 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 145d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,962 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 145d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,915 | +$84 +0.9% | 4 |
| 145d | hannahX | Enrichment of Uranium | SellNo>99¢ | $1,198 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 145d | Dafu0715 | Enrichment of Uranium | SellNo>99¢ | $1,036 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d |  elmcap2 | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,754 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 145d |  BossuSmekeru | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 145d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly6 fills | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $51,568 | +$814 +1.6% | 4 |
| 145d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | Enrichment of Uranium | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,453 | +$220 +3.4% | 4 |
| 145d | msantos1968 | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 145d | can111 | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$22 +0.2% | 4 |
| 146d | okcoolstorybro3 fills | Enrichment of Uranium | BuyNo>99¢ | $51,293 | +$151 +0.3% | 4 |
| 146d |  LOL525 | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 146d | thoodr4 fills | Enrichment of Uranium | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $21,054 | +$1,074 +5.1% | 4 |
| 146d | EnergyGeek | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$115 +2.3% | 20 |
| 146d | Hadebeh | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$13 +1.2% | 4 |
| 146d | Dafu071529 fills | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $273,027 | +$6,473 +2.4% | 4 |
| 146d | zagzig123 | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | −$45 −3.9% | — |
| 147d |  AlexLiu | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 147d | Overdue-Map | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$62 +3.2% | 21 |
| 147d | Adorable-Fountain | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$116 +8.9% | 22 |
| 147d | BGN | Oil Sanction Relief | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | −$207 −16% | — |
| 147d | bearbees2 | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,976 | +$24 +0.8% | 4 |
| 147d |  SadMax1 | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$105 +7.5% | 6 |
| 147d | BGN | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,349 | +$551 +13% | 23 |
| 147d | Skinny-Class3 fills | Oil Sanction Relief | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $4,671 | −$1,129 −24% | — |
| 147d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Enrichment of Uranium | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,740 | +$260 +1.3% | 4 |
| 148d |  paddaa4 fills | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $8,200 | +$3,014 +37% | 20 |
| 148d | Babymunk2 fills | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$512 +10% | 6 |
| 148d | Babymunk | Oil Sanction Relief | SellNo58¢ → 100¢ | $2,115 | −$1,515 −72% | — |
| 148d | 8811122 fills | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $3,152 | +$3,472 +110% | 23 |
| 148d |  ScottyNooo | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,742 | +$75 +1.1% | 4 |
| 148d | ScottyNooo9 fills | Enrichment of Uranium | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $42,943 | +$1,964 +4.6% | 4 |
| 148d | Skinny-Class | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | −$18 −1.3% | — |
| 148d | Huludubu3 fills | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,297 | +$932 +18% | 20 |
| 148d |  Trading4Fridge2 fills | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,252 | +$863 +27% | 21 |
| 149d | dissidentdad3 fills | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $4,594 | +$1,408 +31% | 24 |
| 149d | Threadbare-Signal4 fills | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,887 | +$103 +0.6% | 4 |
| 149d | ScottyNooo2 fills | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,955 | +$1,849 +47% | 20 |
| 149d | denizz2 fills | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $2,129 | −$2,129 −100% | 27 |
| 149d | Cbarbhwux | Oil Sanction Relief | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | −$287 −19% | — |
| 149d | Solid-Airfare2 fills | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,774 | −$726 −6.7% | — |
| 149d | AmirsadeghSa | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | +$178 +17% | 22 |
| 149d | 881112 | Oil Sanction Relief | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,298 | −$878 −20% | — |
| 149d | 234492 fills | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $2,370 | −$2,370 −100% | 26 |
| 149d | Asket3 fills | Unfreeze Iranian Assets | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,081 | +$477 +6.7% | 5 |
| 149d | Rezaswift | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$75 +5.9% | 21 |
| 149d | Babymunk | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$306 +8.7% | 21 |
| 149d | Liquid-Peen | Enrichment of Uranium | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | −$23 −1.4% | — |
| 149d | okcoolstorybro2 fills | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,091 | +$127 +1.0% | 4 |
| 149d | Core1.5 | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | −$17 −1.4% | — |
| 150d | Unlawful-Angora | Oil Sanction Relief | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | +$220 +15% | 21 |
| 150d | Lior-Pa | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,052 | −$181 −4.5% | — |
GTFKY25,936 shares
Chucklehuck15,200 shares
Porx11,871 shares
qy15 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran refers to US acceptance of the enrichment of, or the right to enrich, any quantity of uranium by Iran for any future amount of time. Agreements that include limitations, restrictions, or specified terms (e.g., caps on enrichment level, monitoring requirements) will qualify, provided the United States accepts continued enrichment. The United States will be considered to have agreed to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran if: - Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that they have definitively agreed to accept the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran. - Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means. Agreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and the US government and their official representatives; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Enrichment of Uranium means the market gives it about 0%.