| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 101 | 16¢ → 82¢ | $83 | +$67 +425% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 20¢ → 79¢ | $39 | +$29 +288% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 47d | Yes | 40 | 21¢ → 51¢ | $20 | +$12 +138% |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 22¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$15 +334% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 20 | 24¢ → 79¢ | $16 | +$11 +228% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 74¢ | $15 | +$7 +90% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 24¢ → 49¢ | $15 | +$7 +99% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 55¢ | $11 | +$4 +47% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 90 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $9 | −$2 −17% |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 10 | 58¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$2 +42% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 58¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$2 +35% |
| Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 23 | 16¢ → 30¢ | $7 | +$3 +85% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $7 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 8 | 40¢ → 77¢ | $6 | +$3 +92% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 120 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$3 −35% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 28¢ | $6 | +$3 +129% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 27¢ → 54¢ | $5 | +$3 +98% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 20 | 18¢ → 24¢ | $5 | +$1 +31% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 22¢ | $4 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 33d | Yes | 6 | 34¢ → 56¢ | $3 | +$1 +63% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 34¢ → 32¢ | $3 | −$0 −7.4% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$3 −53% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 20 | 21¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$1 −29% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 17¢ → 28¢ | $3 | +$1 +68% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 157 | 19¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$28 −91% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 90 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $3 | +$1 +45% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 24¢ | $2 | −$0 −7.7% |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 8 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 10 | 16¢ → 23¢ | $2 | +$1 +41% |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 33d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $2 | +$0 +10% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $2 | −$0 −11% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 23¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$1 −26% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −33% |
| Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$2 −68% |
| Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 33d | Yes | 4 | 16¢ → 28¢ | $1 | +$0 +72% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 14¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$3 −75% |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$4 −82% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$2 −70% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$3 −79% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$2 −76% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 40 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −86% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 12¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −63% |
| Will Trump say "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$2 −78% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$4 −91% |
| Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Inner Circle | 70 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ASettled - ready to redeem | Aurora Gaming | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Natus Vincere | 15 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierSettled - ready to redeem | KT Rolster | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | Shopify Rebellion | 15 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will "Life" be in the headlines this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia RieraSettled - ready to redeem | Danka Kovinic | 20 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 660 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | T1 | 70 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendSettled - ready to redeem | ThunderTalk Gaming | 6 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | GamerLegion | 41 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | 1win | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | REKONIX | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | 3DMAX | 16 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Argentina | 60 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | 1win | 40 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | LGD Gaming | 15 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs fnatic - Map 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | fnatic | 11 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | JD Gaming | 75 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 444 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | BIG | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | G2 | 20 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | KT Rolster | 10 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | 9z | 10 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)Settled - ready to redeem | Stewart Nicoll | 40 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 30 and 32 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,197 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | LGD Gaming | 61 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsSettled - ready to redeem | Dallas Wings | 15 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | Winthrop University | 5 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Aurora | 31 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
