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Polymarket wallet 0x3269b884d994f5d121e802d8f5ebec7715b0ec62 · on Polymarket since Jan 24, 2026 · also shown as Competent-Chance
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 197 | 32¢ → 9¢ | $17 | −$47 −74% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 111 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$14 −72% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 105 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 326 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 549 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 313 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 93 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 14 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.